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Reactionary Democrats

The end of the free-trade consensus.

Dec 4, 2006, Vol. 12, No. 12 • By DAVID M. SMICK
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THE ISSUE OF GLOBALIZATION--which has been growing from a preoccupation of the political fringe to a battle cry of the Democratic mainstream--may well become the sleeper issue of 2008. Listen to the postelection chatter in Washington right now, which can be boiled down to one question: Did the Democrats win simply because of Republican scandals and frustrations over the war in Iraq, or was some less perceptible shift in the electorate at work? Are we in fact seeing the beginnings of an electoral wave that might continue into 2008 and give Democrats control over the White House and even larger majorities in Congress?

The answer depends, of course, on what each party offers by way of a broader agenda. In economic policy, the Democrats are flirting with an antiglobalization position, and not without reason. Polls show that despite a 4.4 percent unemployment rate and a robust stock market, the American public remains anxious about its economic future. Americans today spend more on imports than they pay in taxes. Real wages have remained relatively stagnant, which is why good economic headlines over the last year failed to help the GOP.

In today's globalized system, wages alone may not be enough to get ahead. Families need to be invested in the market to benefit from advancements in productivity that are a result of globalization. This is why the Republican party, after failing in its "every man a capitalist" campaign to establish Social Security private accounts, is vulnerable to losing one of its core constituencies: the economically conservative, working-class Democrats and independents brought into the fold by Ronald Reagan in the days of hyperinflation and stagnation. These voters need to be reintroduced to the market and to the overall benefits of globalization.

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