Are there enough votes in the House to pass a health care bill very close to the one the Senate is preparing to pass? Bart Stupak says the Senate bill's abortion language is "unacceptable" and has pledged to lead a group of pro-life Democrats to vote against final passage if the issue isn't resolved. How many votes can Stupak bring with him? In November, House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) said that the Stupak amendment got them "10 votes" for the bill. "Without that language, we were around 212, 214," Clyburn said in November (if that's true, the Stupak amendment actually only got 6 or 8 votes for the bill). The House bill originally passed 220 to 215. Republican Joseph Cao will certainly vote against a bill without the Stupak language. And there are 11 Democrats who voted for the House bill in November who are most likely to vote against final passage because of abortion--they wrote a letter to Pelosi all the way back in June promising that they "cannot support any health care reform proposal unless it explicitly excludes abortion from the scope of any government-defined or subsidized health insurance plan"
Bart Stupak Kathy Dahlkemper Brad Ellsworth Daniel Lipinski Steve Driehaus Paul Kanjorski Marcy Kaptur Dale Kildee Solomon Ortiz John Murtha James Oberstar
Courtesy of Phil Klein, here are the other pro-Stupak pro-House bill votes from November (whom I expect to be fine with the Senate's language, though there could be a couple who aren't):
Jim Langevin Marion Berry Joe Baca Sanford Bishop Dennis Cardoza Chris Carney Jim Cooper Jim Costa Jerry Costello Henry Cuellar Joe Donnelly Mike Doyle Bob Etheridge Baron Hill Stephen Lynch Michael Michaud Alan Mollohan Richard Neal David Obey Tom Perriello Earl Pomeroy Nick Rahall Silvestre Reyes Ciro Rodriguez Tim Ryan John Salazar Vic Synder Zack Space John Spratt Charles Wilson
And here are the 39 Democrats who voted No on the House bill in November (I've bolded the names of 11 members who are unlikely to vote for final passage over abortion, which is by no means the only reason to vote against the Senate bill monstrosity).
1. Rep. John Adler (NJ) 2. Rep. Jason Altmire (PA) 3. Rep. Brian Baird (WA) 4. Rep. John Barrow (GA) 5. Rep. John Boccieri (OH) 6. Rep. Dan Boren (OK) 7. Rep. Rick Boucher (VA) 8. Rep. Allen Boyd (FL) 9. Rep. Bobby Bright (AL) 10. Rep. Ben Chandler (KT) 11. Rep. Travis Childers (MS) 12. Rep. Artur Davis (AL) 13. Rep. Lincoln Davis (TN) 14. Rep. Chet Edwards (TX) 15. Rep. Bart Gordon (TN) 16. Rep. Parker Griffith (AL) 17. Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (SD) 18. Rep. Tim Holden (PA) 19. Rep. Larry Kissell (NC) 20. Rep. Suzanne Kosmas (FL) 21. Rep. Frank Kratovil (MD) 22. Rep. Dennis Kucinich (OH) 23. Rep. Jim Marshall (GA) 24. Rep. Betsy Markey (CO) 25. Rep. Eric Massa (NY) 26. Rep. Jim Matheson(UT) 27. Rep. Mike McIntyre (NC) 28. Rep. Michael McMahon (NY) 29. Rep. Charlie Melancon (LA) 30. Rep. Walt Minnick (ID) 31. Rep. Scott Murphy (NY) 32. Rep. Glenn Nye (VA) 33. Rep. Collin Peterson (MN) 34. Rep. Mike Ross (AR) 35. Rep. Heath Shuler (NC) 36. Rep. Ike Skelton (MO) 37. Rep. John Tanner (TN) 38. Rep. Gene Taylor (MS) 39. Rep. Harry Teague (NM)
So bottom line: you subtract 10 from 220, you need to add 8 from this list. Of course, this doesn't even take into account the 60 House liberals (list after the jump) who pledged to vote against any bill lacking a public option. How many of them have the courage of their convictions?
Lynn Woolsey Raul Grijalva Carolyn Kilpatrick Jerry Nadler Phil Hare Lucille Roybal-Allard Keith Ellison Earl Blumenauer Mel Watts Donna Edwards John Olver Dennis Kucinich Laura Richardson Maxine Waters John Conyers Judy Chu Maurice Hinchey Hank Johnson Diane Watson Jackie Speier Bill Pascrell Lloyd Doggett Marcy Kaptur Mazie Hirono Bob Filner Linda Sanchez Marcia Fudge Barbara Lee Andre Carson Sheila Jackson Lee Michael Honda Jim McDermott William Lacy Clay Jim McGovern Yvette Clarke Eric Massa Chellie Pingree Jesse Jackson, Jr. Elijah Cummings Bennie Thompson Gwen Moore Donald Payne Fortney "Pete" Stark Ed Towns Corrine Brown Alcee Hastings Nydia Valezquez Luis Gutierrez Grace Napolitano Albio Sires John Tierney Mike Capuano Chaka Fattah Jose Serrano SamFarr Bill Delahunt Eddie Bernice Johnson Robert Wexler Emanuel Cleaver Gregorio Sablan
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