Yesterday, Gallup’s 7-day rolling average of polling showed Romney up 6 percentage points — 51 to 45 percent. Today, Gallup’s 7-day average, which now includes one day of polling taken after Tuesday night’s debate, shows Romney up 7 points — 52 to 45 percent. Yesterday, Rasmussen’s 3-day rolling average of polling showed Romney up 1 point — 49 to 48 percent. Today, Rasmussen’s 3-day average, which now includes one day of polling taken after Tuesday night’s debate, shows Romney up 2 points — 49 to 47 percent. These are early and partial returns, to be sure. But the initial evidence suggests that second debate might not have helped Obama as much as it helped Romney.
Ever since Gallup started releasing polling of likely voters (rather than just registered voters), starting with its October 1-7 polling, Obama’s level of support has ranged between 45 and 48 percent. Romney’s has ranged between 48 and 52 percent.
Among independent voters, Rasmussen now shows Romney up by 9 points — 51 to 42 percent.