Can Republicans win another special election for Senate in Massachusetts? More than three years after Scott Brown won Ted Kennedy's old seat in an upset, fellow Republican Gabriel Gomez may have a shot of doing the same. The Cook Political Report has moved Gomez's race against Democratic congressman Ed Markey from "leaning Democrat" to "toss up" in its latest analysis of this month's special election for John Kerry's former seat.

Here's more from the Christian Science Monitor:

“In truth, we have had a difficult time accepting the idea that this race might get close,” wrote Cook’s Jennifer Duffy. “At the same time, Democrats nominated a long-serving member of Congress at a time when Congress is an almost universally unpopular institution. It doesn’t help that Markey has not had a competitive race in decades.”

As the report notes, there’s still a lot going against Mr. Gomez in this race, right down to the basics: He’s a Republican paddling through a deep sea of blue. Registered Democrats outflank their GOP counterparts in Massachusetts by a margin of 3 to 1.

He also has less money, less clout, and less of an organizing base to kick-start get-out-the-vote efforts than does Mr. Markey, who brought first lady Michelle Obama to Boston earlier this week for a swanky lunch that raised more than $700,000 for his campaign.

Gomez is a businessman and retired Navy SEAL who has never run for elected office before. The special election is on June 25.

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