The Magazine

Some Juggernaut

Democrats look awfully frantic for a party with history on its side.

May 26, 2014, Vol. 19, No. 35 • By FRED BARNES
Widget tooltip
Audio version Single Page Print Larger Text Smaller Text Alerts

In 2004, President George W. Bush got either 40 percent or 44 percent of the Hispanic vote, depending on which survey you believe. Four years later, John McCain dipped to 31 percent. In 2012, Mitt Romney slipped further to 27 percent. 

Voting groups change their minds. In the late 1970s and early 1980s, pro-life Democrats migrated to the GOP. Evangelical Christians who voted in 1976 for Jimmy Carter abandoned him in 1980, voted heavily for Ronald Reagan, and have stayed in the Republican orbit.

Demography is destiny only “up to a point,” Michael Barone says. A disastrous finish to the Obama era could blunt the trend toward Democratic rule. If that’s what is bothering Harry Reid and Democrats, no wonder they seem so cheerless.

Fred Barnes is an executive editor at The Weekly Standard.

Recent Blog Posts

The Weekly Standard Archives

Browse 19 Years of the Weekly Standard

Old covers