Are the Exit Polls Over-Sampling Democrats?
6:56 PM, Nov 6, 2012 • By WILLIAM KRISTOL
I gather the first wave of the exit poll has the right track/wrong track at around 46/52. The current Real Clear Politics polling average for right track/wrong track is about 41/54, with no poll having the right track above 43. Maybe all the other polls are wrong. Or, given that Democrats are more likely to believe the country is on the right track, maybe the first wave of exit polls is a few points too Democratic in its sample.
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