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Daily Kos Releases Final Wisconsin State Senate Polls

3:33 PM, Aug 8, 2011 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
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Polling conducted over the weekend by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling for the left-wing website Daily Kos shows control of the Wisconsin senate may come down to two of tomorrow's six contests. Democrats need three wins to take over the senate, and one victory seems assured against Republican Dan Kapanke, who continues to trail by double digits in a heavily Democratic district. But the next two wins are far from certain.

Republican state senator Luther Olsen has inched ahead of Democratic challenger Fred Clark, but the race is still tight: 

Fred Clark (D): 47 (49)
Luther Olsen (R-inc): 50 (47)
Undecided: 3 (4)

GOP state senator Randy Hopper remains a few points behind his Democratic challenger:  

Jessica King (D): 48 (50)
Randy Hopper (R-inc): 49 (47)
Undecided: 3 (3)

Hopper, who's taken heat for leaving his wife for a 25-year-old in Madison, is running a couple points behind Walker in the district (the governor's approval rating is 49% in both Hopper's and Olsen's districts). 

Democrats will also have a shot against Republican Alberta Darling, who's up by just a few points according to Republican and Democratic polling. Republicans in two other districts seem likely to win. But who knows how well pollsters are able to predict the likely voter turnout for August special elections where more than $30 million has been funneled? All six races are in swing districts that voted for Obama in 2008 but Walker in 2010.

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