Growing Share of Self-Identified Independents Could Help GOP
8:43 AM, Jul 30, 2010 • By GARY ANDRES
For the same reason, this shifting partisanship pattern could doom many Democrats in marginal seats in November. The difference between an electorate made up of 52 percent self-identified Democrats and one with only 44 percent will cost them millions of votes. Moreover, the enlarged share of independents also tilts more Republican now on measures like the generic ballot compared to 2 years ago. Finally, the Gallup numbers demonstrate a shift among all adults. Other polls have shown Republicans garner an even larger share of the generic ballot among likely voters.
These swings in the composition of the electorate – assuming they continue through for the next 100 days – could spell real trouble for congressional Democrats this November.