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Is Manchin Running Away With It In West Virginia?


3:18 PM, Oct 15, 2010 • By JAY COST
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Politico reports:

Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin has opened up a double-digit lead over Republican John Raese in the West Virginia Senate special election, according to a new poll set for release Friday morning.

The Marshall University poll shows Manchin taking 48 percent to Raese’s 38 percent, with 12 percent still undecided.

The new poll is the latest this week to show an uptick in support for the governor. The survey tested 450 likely voters on Oct. 11-12, just after former President Bill Clinton held a Morgantown rally for Manchin on Monday. The poll was conducted using live interviews and has a 4.6 percent margin of error.

Manchin, the popular two-term governor who Democrats expected would have an easy path to succeed the late Sen. Robert Byrd, has been a victim of a toxic political environment. Raese, a wealthy mining company owner, and national Republicans have spent heavily to tie Manchin to an unpopular President Obama.

A few grafs down, we get this little bit of news:

The poll was conducted by the West Virginia-based Orion Strategies for the Marshall University School of Journalism and Mass Communications.

Orion Strategies has worked for both Democratic and non-partisan clients and is owned by Curtis Wilkerson, campaign manager for Democratic congressional candidate Mike Oliverio.

Manchin and Oliverio are both on the ballot in WV-1 as Democrats.  What's good for one is good for the other.  I would put as much stock in this as I would in any campaign poll, regardless of the sponsorship by the "Marshall University School of Journalism and Mass Communications."

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