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Morning Jay: In Search of Strawmen, the Midwest, Health Care, and More!

6:30 AM, Sep 20, 2010 • By JAY COST
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Of course, if your evidentiary standard is strict enough, you can claim that any theory is underdetermined, including the theory of gravity!  And if we examine the 39 Democrats running for reelection in congressional districts that voted for McCain, we find some interesting results.  17 of these 39 Democrats voted for Obamacare.  Of those 17, Charlie Cook now rates 14 of them as in toss-up races while only 3 are in “Lean Democrat” races.

22 of the 39 voted against Obamacare, and they fare much better.  Just 6 of them are in toss-ups, 8 are in the “Lean Democrat” category, 5 are in the “Likely Democrat” category, and 3 are currently listed as safe.  Those safe Democrats include Gene Taylor (MS-4) and Dan Boren (OK-2), whose districts gave John McCain 67 percent and 66 percent, respectively.

But, don’t you worry.  The argument is still underdetermined!

Keep those questions coming!  jay.p.cost@gmail.com

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