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Morning Jay: Special Prognostication Edition!

6:30 AM, Oct 15, 2010 • By JAY COST
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7. Stuart Rothenberg is on the more conservative end: “Likely Republican gain of 37-45 seats, with considerably larger gains in excess of 45 seats quite possible. “ 

8. Cook Political says: “For every isolated race in which a last minute scandal sinks a Republican...there are ten races in which Republicans are steadily closing in on Democratic leads...Overall, given the status of these Toss Up races and the length of the Lean Democratic column, Democrats' chances of losing at least 50 seats are now greater than their chances of holding losses under 45 seats.”

9. As for yours truly, I am still where I was a few weeks ago: the GOP slightly outperforms its 1994 haul.  I called it 57 seats then, and I still think that is a reasonable number.

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