National Journal Poll: Half Would Vote Against Obama
12:35 PM, Mar 18, 2011 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Jay Cost wrote this morning that some of the most important polls to watch this early (and it's still very early) in the 2012 campaign are those which ask the question, "Does Barack Obama deserve Reelection?" In that strain, National Journal has a new poll out today of registered voters that, if accurate, doesn't bode well for Obama:
There are plenty of problems with this poll on its face. First of all, registered voters are always less representative of actualy opinion than likely voters are. And as the Hotline report notes, it is still very early in the cycle. Nevertheless, if half of the voters are thinking they'll vote against Obama, that's a fairly high hurdle to jump. It's difficult to convince too many voters who have already decided to vote against you.