New Senate Polls in Florida, Pennsylvania, and California Show Republicans Surging
11:24 AM, Aug 26, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
A poll by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, conducted last weekend before Tuesday's primary, showed Rubio leading Crist 40% to 32% with Meek at 17%.
In Pennsylvania, Republican Pat Toomey has a 9-point lead over Democrat Joe Sestak, according to a new Franklin and Marshall poll. Recent polls by Rasmussen and PPP have put Toomey up by 8 and 9 points, respectively.
In California, Rasmussen shows Republican Carly Fiorina trailing Democratic senator Barbara Boxer by just one point, 44 percent to 43 percent. Prior to this poll, Boxer had a 3.5 percent lead over Fiorina in the Real Clear Politics average of polls.
According to RCP's Senate rating map, 44 seats are rated lean/likely Republican, 48 seats are rated lean/likely Democrat, and 8 seats are rated "toss up."
I think that three of the eight toss ups--Colorado, Ohio, Florida--actually lean Republican, while the remaining five--Nevada, Illinois, California, Washington, Wisconsin--are genuine toss ups. But as they say, things can change.
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