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New Senate Polls in Florida, Pennsylvania, and California Show Republicans Surging

11:24 AM, Aug 26, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
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Via Jennifer Rubin, Rasmussen shows Marco Rubio with a 10-point lead over Charlie Crist in the Florida Senate race:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Marco Rubio attracting 40% of the vote, while Charlie Crist picks up 30% in the race to become the state’s next U.S. senator. The new Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek earns 21% support.

This is the first poll of the race following Tuesday’s primary. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

In the last survey before the primary, it was Rubio at 38%, Crist at 33% and Meek 21%.

A poll by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, conducted last weekend before Tuesday's primary, showed Rubio leading Crist 40% to 32% with Meek at 17%.

In Pennsylvania, Republican Pat Toomey has a 9-point lead over Democrat Joe Sestak, according to a new Franklin and Marshall poll. Recent polls by Rasmussen and PPP have put Toomey up by 8 and 9 points, respectively.

In California, Rasmussen shows Republican Carly Fiorina trailing Democratic senator Barbara Boxer by just one point, 44 percent to 43 percent. Prior to this poll, Boxer had a 3.5 percent lead over Fiorina in the Real Clear Politics average of polls.

According to RCP's Senate rating map, 44 seats are rated lean/likely Republican, 48 seats are rated lean/likely Democrat, and 8 seats are rated "toss up."

I think that three of the eight toss ups--Colorado, Ohio, Florida--actually lean Republican, while the remaining five--Nevada, Illinois, California, Washington, Wisconsin--are genuine toss ups. But as they say, things can change.

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