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Is Obama's Bin Laden Bounce Likely to Evaporate?

1:35 PM, May 4, 2011 • By MARK HEMINGWAY
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Dave Weigel looks at the internals of the latest New York Times poll and notices something that should be rather disconcerting for the president:

Right here, buried in the new NYT/CBS poll, is the picture of how Barack Obama's poll bounce will fade. How big is the approval surge from the capture of OBL? Big. Obama rises from a 46-45 approval rating in April to a 57-37 approval rating post-OBL. It's his highest number since the summer of 2009.

But keep reading. The pollster asked whether voters "approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy." That number has fallen since April, from 38 percent to 34 percent.

The poll was conducted entirely after the news of bin Laden's capture. So even as his overall approval is buoyed, the critical economics question is worse than ever. Once the bin Laden news recedes, it's likely that Obama will be back in a bad place with voters.

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