Obama's High Personal Approval Unlikely to Save Him on Election Day
12:45 PM, Sep 1, 2011 • By MARK HEMINGWAY
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (WPA) has a very interesting analysis of Obama's polling numbers. When it comes to judging how Obama's approval ratings predict his reelction chances, WPA describes issue this way:
There's a lot of actual analysis and number crunching at the link, so be sure and read the whole thing. But in a nutshell there's two big takeaways here:
As for personal approval:
WPA wisely notes that a lot about Obama's numbers can change between now and election day, so it's far too early to suggest Obama's a one-termer. But it doesn't bode well.