Poll: Warren 43, Brown 38
Are Scott Brown Democrats coming home?
7:14 AM, Oct 1, 2012 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Elizabeth Warren has taken a 5-point lead in her race against Scott Brown, according to a poll released Sunday by the Boston Globe. The Massachusetts Democrat has 43 percent support among likely voters, the poll says, compared to 38 percent support for Brown, the incumbent Republican senator.
The Globe notes that Warren has gained on Brown since the newspaper polled the race in May, when Brown had a two-point lead. The latest poll was conducted over the seven days following the candidates' first televised debate on September 20. Here's more:
Smith claims the polls are "trending away from Brown," although the only other poll taken since the September 20 debate was a Rasmussen poll from September 24 that showed Warren and Brown tied at 48 percent. Nevertheless, the party registration advantage for Democrats is real, and an explanation for the Globe's results might be that Democrats who voted for Brown in 2010 in a special election are deciding to "come home." The Real Clear Politics average shows a race that's only separated by two points.
The next TV debate between Warren and Brown is tonight, October 1, in Lowell.
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