Well, this is an interesting tidbit from the Politico-commissioned Insider Advantage poll today, which shows Brown up 9. Said Insider Advantage CEO Matt Towery:
"When there's a nine-point difference, it's awfully hard to shave off enough to win," Towery said. "The older voters are even tied. And the youngest voters have turned against the Democrats," he said, pointing to Brown's 61 to 30 percent lead among voters 18 to 29 years old. (Voters 65 and older, typically a key Democratic constituency, are divided between the two contenders, 48 percent a piece).
Take it away, Michael Barone:
Possible explanation: they’re [65+] the remnant of the old Massachusetts electorate in which almost all Catholics voted Democratic and almost all Protestants voted Republican, and they’re still generally voting the way they’ve done all these years. For young Massachusetts voters, this theory would go on, that old sectarian divide is history long forgotten, and they’re more willing to switch their votes in response to issues and candidates (as is generally true of younger voters).
Just a theory. But if I were running the Republican party, I would want to know whether Scott Brown has made such inroads among young voters, and if so how.