Polls: Cain, Romney Virtually Tied in South Carolina, Florida
11:48 AM, Oct 19, 2011 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new pair of polls from NBC News and Marist College shows Herman Cain with a slight lead over Mitt Romney in South Carolina and Florida, two key early primary states. MSNBC reports:
Cain is polling well overall in South Carolina, and according to the RealClearPolitics average, he has a 9.5 point lead among GOP primary voters there. This number may be skewed, though, by a new Insider Advantage poll that gives Cain an unlikely 16-point lead over Romney. (Poll watcher Nate Silver judged Insider Advantage one of the least reliable in his pollster rankings last year.)
The primary race is much closer in Florida, where the RealClearPolitics average shows Romney with a 2-point lead over Cain. Romney has maintained the lead there since taking it back from Rick Perry in late September. Perry's numbers, meanwhile, have plummeted in both states, with his average in Florida now in the single digits.