PPP Poll: 33% of Voters Say Gay Marriage Should be Legal, 57% Say It Should Be Illegal
4:55 PM, Aug 13, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
Liberal blogger Nate Silver takes a look at a new poll on gay marriage conducted by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling:
Silver runs through a number of reasons why CNN and PPP came up with such different results. CNN polled all adults, while PPP polled registered voters; CNN used live operators, while PPP used an automated recording to conduct the poll:
Silver doesn't think that factor entirely explains the discrepancy and notes that PPP appears to have included too few young voters, who are generally very supportive of gay marriage, in its sample.
The most convincing point that CNN is wrong is that the only polls that matter--actual votes--in liberal states have shown majorities against gay marriage. In 2008, a little over 52 percent of California voters cast ballots to amend their state constitution in order to ban gay marriage. In 2009, 53 percent of Maine voters cast ballots to repeal gay marriage. Support for gay marriage may be increasing, but if majorities in liberal states are for banning it, that CNN poll can't possibly be right.