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Quinnipiac: Blumenthal 49%, McMahon 46%

10:55 AM, Sep 28, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
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Via Jim Geraghty, a new Quinnipiac poll shows Republican Linda McMahon by just three points behind Democrat Dick Blumenthal:

Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are “angry” with government, former wrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on  Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 – 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 51 – 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, conducted by live interviewers.

In today’s survey, 4 percent are undecided and 9 percent of voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day.  Blumenthal leads 89 – 9 percent among Democrats.  McMahon leads 80 – 16 percent among Republicans.  Independent voters shift from 47 – 46 percent for Blumenthal September 14 to 49 – 44 percent for McMahon today.  In a gender reversal, women back Blumenthal 56 – 39 percent while men back McMahon 52 – 44 percent.

The race is now rated as a "toss-up" by RealClearPolitics.

Blumenthal must have seen he was in trouble six weeks ago when he turned against the stimulus. More recently, he ran away from cap-and-trade. Remember: this is Connecticut. Obama won the state by a 61% to 38% margin in 2008. When the Democratic candidate is scurrying to the right in one of the bluest states in the nation, you know just how unpopular some of the Democrats' signature policies have become.

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