In a survey conducted the night after their first head-to-head debate, Democrat Richard Blumenthal has moved further ahead of Republican Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Blumenthal, the state’s longtime attorney general, picking up 54% of the vote. McMahon, the former CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment, draws support from 43%. Only three percent (3%) of voters are undecided at this point. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
These numbers move the race back to Solid Democrat from Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
Just over a week ago, it was a 50% to 45% race, Blumenthal’s smallest lead since May. In 12 surveys conducted since January, Blumenthal has received between 47% and 60% of the vote. McMahon’s support has fallen in the 31% to 45% range over the same period.
Jim Geraghty points out Democrats aren't entirely confident they've got Connecticut in the bag: the DSCC is reportedly spending $2 million on the race.
Blumenthal leads McMahon by 8.2% in the RCP average of polls.