Update: PPP Predicting Dem Turnout in W.V. Will Be Higher Than '06 & '08
3:02 PM, Oct 12, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
I noted earlier that Public Policy Polling shows West Virginia's Democratic governor Joe Manchin with a 3-point lead over John Raese, but the poll appears to be a little bit skewed to the left. Our very own Jay Cost (who keeps a record of all exit polling data dating back to 1796 indexed in his brain), points out that PPP's poll is predicting the most pro-Democratic electorate in West Virginia in over a decade.
In 2008, the party spread was D: 48, I: 19, R: 34.
In 2006, it was: D: 51, I: 16, R: 32.
The PPP numbers in West Virginia now show a partisan spread of D: 55, I: 12, R: 32.
Is the electorate really going to be more Democratic in 2010 than it was in 2008 or 2006? Seems unlikely.