WaPo: 'N.Y. race is referendum on GOP Medicare plan'
1:04 PM, May 16, 2011 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
The Washington Post's Philip Rucker reports on the NY-26 special election, which will be held in 8 days:
How does Rucker know that the race is a "referendum" on Ryan's Medicare plan? And how does he know the Medicare plan is what has made this race competitive? Well, he doesn't. That's Rucker's opinion. Oh, and Donald Trump's! As far as I can tell, no polls were conducted in NY-26 before April 5, when Ryan introduced his budget, so it's hard to know whether there was a correlation between the introduction of the GOP budget and a shift in the electorate.
Maybe the race is actually a referendum on a married Republican congressman's trawling Craigslist for sex with transgendered women. Or maybe it's another example of how the fractious upstate New York GOP has failed to pick a candidate that unites conservatives and moderates. Conservative David Bellavia was passed over as a Republican candidate, and is paying back the NY GOP by endorsing Democrat-turned-"Tea Party" candidate Jack Davis. And, if Google is any indication, Jane Corwin's pro-choice position on abortion has sparked a lot of interest:
This isn't to say that Medicare isn't playing a role in the race. It is the main line of attack by the Democrats against Corwin, and Corwin and Republicans haven't done a stellar job of punching back. But it's hard to know whether Medicare reform is what's made the race close or if other factors--a sex scandal, and a divided GOP--are playing more of a role.