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This Wheel's On Fire

For the Democrats, trouble is coming.

11:49 AM, Apr 9, 2010 • By MATTHEW CONTINETTI
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As liberals engage in one of their periodic celebrations of how open-minded and intelligent they are, it's worth taking a moment to assess just how bad a political situation they've created for the Democrats. Consider:

This Wheel's On Fire

He'll be frowning come November.

Gallup says the Democrats are at their lowest level of approval in 18 years.

The new Fox poll has Obama at 43 percent job approval.

The Pollster.com poll of polls has Obama's disapproval at 48 percent.

Democratic congressmen continue to flee the sinking ship.

Nate Silver says there's a better than one-in-ten chance that Democrats lose more than 55 House seats on Election Day.

Obamacare is no more popular than it was before passage (indeed, opposition is on an upward trajectory), and the idea of repeal is relatively popular.

Liberals tend to blame the economy for this horrible situation. But the macroeconomy is slowly recovering (GDP, stocks, and jobs are up), while Democratic fortunes continue to fall. Another tactic is to blame an "anti-incumbent" environment. But, as John Podhoretz points out, those incumbents are all Democrats.

Obama, Pelosi, and Reid misread the 2006 and 2008 elections and embarked on an agenda of which the public heartily disapproves. The stimulus failed. Government-centric housing policy has failed. Health care became law despite public resistance. The Obama budget projects massive deficits and debt far into the future. Taxes, regulations, and interest rates are all set to rise. Absent a massive change in policy and tone on the part of Congress and the White House, it's hard to see how the Democrats avoid a very, very bad November. Of course the sluggish economy will play a role. But overall, it's the agenda, stupid.

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