Liberals Still Fighting for Reconciliation on Health Care
Why Democrats would be politically smart not to pass Obamacare.
3:21 PM, Feb 12, 2010 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
Nancy Pelosi is still fighting to pass the health care bill through reconciliation. Nate Silver makes the political case for why the Democrats should follow her lead:
Here's the problem with this analysis: "The base" was as excited as it was or is ever going to be about the health care bill in the Massachusetts special election. The stakes were extremely high, and the choice was binary. Defeat Scott Brown and health care passes; elect Scott Brown and it dies. As you may recall, Scott Brown won.
But, the liberal bloggers say, Republicans are already going to run against your vote on health care, so why not actually pass it if you've already paid the price? To see the error in that argument, take this hypothetical from David Brooks a step further.
And then imagine that Bush decided not to invade. Would voters want to punish Republicans for pushing for an unpopular war? Sure, but they wouldn't be nearly as motivated as they would be if there was actually a war going on. Same with health care: If the Democrats don't enact their $2.5 trillion, tax-raising, abortion-funding bill, voters aren't going to turn out in November to kill something that is already dead.