4:04 PM, Apr 30, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new poll shows Florida Republican governor Rick Scott behind his most likely opponent, Republican-turned-independent-turned-Democrat Charlie Crist, by 10 points. The Quinnipiac poll of registered voters found 48 percent support Crist while 38 percent support Scott. Scott's fortunes would improve if he ran against former Democratic state senator Nan Rich, who polls 36 percent to the Republican's 42 percent.
But Scott, first elected in 2010, is struggling elsewhere. He's underwater in both his favorability/unfavorability rating (39 percent/46 percent) and his job approval/disapproval rating (42 percent/50 percent). Crist, who served as governor from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican, has a much better favorability/unfavorability rating of 43 percent and 36 percent, respectively.
This isn't the first poll to show Scott trailing, though it is Crist's largest lead so far. The Real Clear Politics poll average gives Crist a 3.8-point lead.
Crist left the GOP in 2010 after he began losing his bid for the party's nomination to the U.S. Senate to Marco Rubio. He ran and lost in the general election to Rubio as an independent. Crist officially became a Democrat in 2012.
Update: Republican polling firm Gravis also has a poll out today, showing Scott with a 1-point lead over Crist, 43 percent to 42 percent.
1:18 PM, Feb 17, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
One Colorado Republican running for the U.S. Senate this year has a message for voters: He cares. Ken Buck, who is running to challenge incumbent Democrat Mark Udall, has a new ad in a series touting his record of helping people in his role as district attorney of Weld County, north of the Denver area.
The ad features Stephanie Drobny, a woman with two young children who fled an abusive husband in Montana. Drobny describes how Buck, as DA, helped her feel safe and even worked to change a loophole in the law to keep the ex-husband away from her children. Watch the video below:
12:01 PM, Feb 14, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new poll of likely voters in Michigan shows GOP candidates for U.S. Senate and the governorship ahead of their Democratic counterparts. According to the Detroit Free Press, the latest EPIC-MRA poll shows incumbent Republican governor Rick Snyder leading his challenger, Democrat Mark Schauer, 47 percent to 39 percent.
12:22 AM, Mar 29, 2011 • By DANIEL HALPER
Earlier this evening, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty was asked for his opinion of Syria on the Hugh Hewitt radio show. “Bashar al-Assad is a dictator,” said Pawlenty, a prospective Republican presidential candidate for the 2012 election, referencing the Syrian strongman who is brutally murdering his own people. “His father killed thousands – tens of thousands of people. He is also a killer.”
4:00 PM, Dec 30, 2010 • By FRED BARNES
Elections have consequences, and in Alabama the consequences have come quickly and decisively.
1:50 PM, Nov 29, 2010 • By JAY COST
Over the weekend, Texas Republican representative Lamar Smith penned an interesting column for the Washington Post arguing that the GOP's haul among Hispanic voters was "historically robust." Is this conclusion correct? If so, what does it mean, about both 2010 and the future of the Republican party?
12:31 PM, Nov 26, 2010 • By JAY COST
On Election Night a few weeks back, several races remained outstanding. In the weeks that have followed, all but one of the contests has been settled, with the final one (NY-1) now being tended to by a judge. Let's run down the results.
-CA-11. Republican efforts to take back Richard Pombo's old seat have proven unsuccessful. Democrat Jerry McNerney ultimately prevailed, despite the fact that late on election night Republican David Harmer had the lead.
10:30 AM, Nov 22, 2010 • By FRANK CANNON
There is an under-noticed bright spot for the Republican Party after the recent midterm election: Gains with Hispanic voters and Hispanic politicians.
6:30 AM, Nov 15, 2010 • By JAY COST
Today we continue our post-election overview by looking at the West. Historically, the West has been a fairly volatile region. In the 1880s the Republican Party figured that the West would be a GOP bastion, and accordingly the 51st Congress (1889-90) added four western states to the Union (plus North and South Dakota). However, the GOP was in for a surprise, as the West tilted Populist in 1892, then went Democratic in 1896. From that point until about 1960, a victorious Democratic coalition always depended upon an alliance of the South and the West.
4:45 PM, Nov 11, 2010 • By STEPHEN F. HAYES
Ben Smith has a good piece on John Thune’s vulnerabilities as a 2012 presidential candidate. Smith’s post raises the central question: Is Thune too “establishment” for the current political environment?
12:00 AM, Nov 11, 2010 • By GARY ANDRES
Never mind the talk of tsunamis and tidal waves, last Tuesday’s results revealed some storm clouds ahead for both parties. (Okay, I promise to stop sounding like the political Weather Channel.)
Let’s start with the Democrats. Beyond the obvious, such as losing independents by 16 points and moving backward with nearly every major demographic group compared to the last two elections, Democrats should be wary of five other pitfalls.
6:30 AM, Nov 10, 2010 • By JAY COST
Today's post is the first entry in a four-part series analyzing the 2010 midterm election. My plan is to break it down by region, and I begin today with the South – or more specifically, the 11 states that made up the old Confederacy.
To start, let’s sketch out a broad overview of the Southern states, based on the available exit polling data. Exit polls were conducted in 5 of the 11 states we are evaluating, and here are some notable results.