1:54 PM, Jul 21, 2014 • By MARK HEMINGWAY
Over at the New York Times, Nate Cohn throws cold water on the notion that 2014 is going to be a landmark year for the GOP:
The Republicans will have a good chance of picking up the Senate without an anti-Democratic wave. There are so many Democratic-held seats up for grabs in red and purple states this year that the G.O.P. could take the Senate under neutral conditions. Candidates like Mary Landrieu of Louisiana and Kay Hagan of North Carolina, for instance, won by modest margins in 2008, even though it was an excellent year for Democrats and even though they were bolstered by huge black turnout.
But if a wave doesn’t materialize, and if Republicans don’t post victories in Democratic-tilting states like Iowa or Colorado, it will be hard to consider 2014 a great year for Republicans. That will be true even if they take the Senate by taking advantage of a favorable map. The Republicans don’t need more evidence of their ability to win with low Democratic turnout in states like Louisiana and Alaska heading into 2016. Fortunately for the G.O.P., there are still more than three months to go.
Aside from Cohn's specious assertion that "the economy and the deficit are both in a better place than they were in 2010," his analysis here looks pretty sound. Cohn's right that the question about this election is not whether or not the GOP can take back the Senate—the structural advantages Republicans enjoy make that pretty likely.
The more pertinent question is, will the GOP be able to carry any gains won in this election past the next election cycle?In 2016, the Senate map won't be nearly as favorable to Republicans. Turnout will also be much higher in 2016, as there is a good chance a popular Democratic presidential candidate will be at the top of the ballot to help the party's Senate candidates along.
Given Obama's fecklessness in the face of global conflagrations and economic and social unrest at home, a lot could change between now and November. But for now, there's no strong evidence of a GOP wave big enough to carry the party past 2014 into rockier waters in 2016.
9:50 AM, Jul 21, 2014 • By PETE HEGSETH
Can Robert McDonald, the former Procter & Gamble CEO tapped by President Obama to lead the Department of Veterans Affairs, turn things around at the famously troubled department?
Out of prison, with a new wife and infant son, Edwin Edwards, 86, hits the campaign trail again Jul 28, 2014, Vol. 19, No. 43 • By MATT LABASH
1:45 PM, Jul 16, 2014 • By ROGER ZAKHEIM
This week senior officials from the Pentagon will testify before Congress on their request for emergency appropriations, known as the Overseas Contingency Operations funding (OCO in military speak). A decision to maintain troop presence in Afghanistan, a resurgence of radical Sunni terrorism across the Middle east, and Russian expansionism in Europe all seem like good reasons for the administration to request the emergency funding. These events, however, haven’t prevented some proponents of defense cuts to question the validity of the request.
9:45 AM, Jul 16, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Gary Palmer, the founder of the conservative Alabama Policy Institute and a candidate for the House of Representatives, won his Republican primary runoff Tuesday against Paul DeMarco. Palmer is running to succeed retiring Republican Spencer Bachus for the GOP-friendly, Birmingham-area district. At National Review Online, Alabama resident Quin Hillyer has more:
But the Louisiana Democrat supported similar changes to federal programs.3:14 PM, Jul 15, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
The Mary Landrieu campaign is out with a new hit against the Louisiana Democrat's Republican opponent, Congressman Bill Cassidy. The 30-second ad focuses on Cassidy's support for policies that supposedly hurt senior citizens. Watch the video below:
"It was Congressman Bill Cassidy who voted to raise the Social Security retirement age to 70, cut Social Security benefits for retirees, and raise Medicare costs by $6,000," says the voiceover.
10:05 AM, Jul 15, 2014 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON
In March 2010, Obamacare was about to be voted upon by the House of Representatives, and the Democrats were in the process of deciding whether to ignore public opinion at their peril. At that time, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected that Obamacare would cost $938 billion over a decade and would reduce the number of uninsured people by 19 million as of 2014 (with a reduction of 1 million prior to 2014 and 18 million in 2014 alone). Unimpressed, the American people overwhelmingly opposed the intrusive overhaul — with 20 of 21 polls taken that month showing it to be unpopular, most of them by double digits. The Democrats willfully passed Obamacare anyway and lost 63 House seats that November.
3:14 PM, Jul 14, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Joni Ernst, the Republican Senate candidate from Iowa, is getting a boost from GOP super PAC American Crossroads. A new TV ad from the group contrasts Ernst's background as "a mother and a soldier" with that of her opponent, Democratic congressman Bruce Braley.
"Bruce Braley, trial lawyer and Washington politician, supports Obamacare and caught putting down Chuck Grassley to an out-of-state crowd," says the voiceover. Included in a clip of Braley criticizing Grassley, the Iowa Republican, as a "farmer who never went to law school."
4:33 PM, Jul 11, 2014 • By ADAM J. WHITE
Speaker Boehner's proposed constitutional lawsuit against the president doesn't lack critics, including those who doubt that Congress has "standing" to bring such a case in federal court.
2:34 PM, Jul 10, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
The topic of surveillance by the National Security Agency has arisen in, of all places, a House Republican primary in Kansas. Incumbent Mike Pompeo faced criticism from his challenger, former congressman Todd Tiahrt, over Pompeo's support for NSA surveillance programs. In a recent debate, Tiahrt accused Pompeo of "taking money from lobbyists and supporting the violation of the Fourth Amendment," while Pompeo replied that Tiahrt was misleading people about a program that keeps Americans safe.
5:39 PM, Jul 9, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
When is it okay for a politician to discuss impeaching a president? Iowa Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst is receiving criticism for her responses to questions about impeaching President Obama. Ernst, who won her party's nomination last month, never actually said she supported impeachment. But amid recent calls from some conservatives that "it's time to impeach" the president the Iowa Republican is receiving some tougher scrutiny over her past statements on impeachment.
12:34 PM, Jul 9, 2014 • By DANIEL HALPER
Democratic congressman Henry Cuellar ripped President Obama for being "aloof" and "detached" by not visiting the Texas border to see first hand the immigration crisis. Cuellar made the comments on MSNBC: