"Hillary gets to say, 'I’m the first woman president.' And Jeb gets to say, 'I’m the third Bush president.'"9:06 AM, Apr 8, 2014 • By DANIEL HALPER
Bill Kristol made the argument that Jeb Bush will not be the next Republican presidential nominee:
"He's the establishment hope who I don't think is likely to be the nominee," the boss said of Jeb Bush. "I think there's no way there will be a Bush-Clinton race in 2016. I'll buy all of you dinner, I'll buy the two Bens dinner -- this could be expensive in New York, I guess. I'm willing to go out on a limb.
"Why is that? Because the Republican primary voters do not think the solution--I mean, they don't want to nominate someone who was last in office a decade ago. He's a good man. He hasn't been involved in any of the fights in the Obama years. Republicans are kind of worked up about Obamacare, about the foreign policy failures, they'd like someone who is either engaged in those fights in Washington or a governor who’s governed successfully in real time, i.e., now. So a Scott Walker or a Mike Pence, or a Ted Cruz or a Marco Rubio or a Paul Ryan. And I think all of them, incidentally, would be better candidates probably than Jeb Bush against Hillary Clinton.
“If it’s Bush against Clinton, it’s two people who have been around an awful long time, two people who sort of inherited the mantle. And then Hillary gets to say, 'I’m the first woman president.' And Jeb gets to say, 'I’m the third Bush president.' That’s not a good match-up for Republicans. Whereas Scott Walker and Mike Pence and Marco Rubio and all those guys get to say: generational change, conservative reform agenda, get away from the failures of the Obama years, which Secretary Clinton was part of. I think that’s a much better message for Republicans."
3:02 PM, Mar 27, 2014 • By THOMAS DONNELLY
As Vladimir Putin reminds us that hard power, military power – not “soft” or “smart” power – is the ultima ratio in international affairs, who speaks for the Republican party?
10:12 AM, Mar 24, 2014 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
Nate Silver, editor of 538, the online magazine of data based journalism, was once considered a bringer of empirical light and truth to a world that had, hitherto, struggled in intuitive darkness of expert opinion. What Moneyball was to sports, his enterprise would be to politics. But last week, 538 made the Republicans favorites, by a field goal, to take the U.S. Senate in the next election.
7:41 AM, Mar 21, 2014 • By DANIEL HALPER
President Barack Obama warned yesterday at a private home in Miami that Democrats "get clobbered" in midterm elections.
"[T]he problem is not that the American people disagree with us on the issues. The challenge is, is that our politics in Washington have become so toxic that people just lose faith and finally they just say, you know what, I’m not interested, I’m not going to bother, I’m not going to vote," Obama told donors.
11:03 AM, Mar 14, 2014 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
White House spin doctors and a sea of lawyers have somehow managed to schedule a presidential appearance:
… at two super PAC events this election cycle to help support Democratic candidates.
But it does not qualify as political fund raising! As the Huffington Post reports:
'We have our blind spots and we have our dogmas and we've got our crazy folks.'7:17 AM, Mar 12, 2014 • By DANIEL HALPER
President Obama knows that his time is almost up. It's a point he's making to liberal Democratic donors to get them to donate generously in this year's mid-term election.
10:39 AM, Mar 11, 2014 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
The Senate remained in session through Monday night and into this morning. The yield of this all-nighter was … nothing. Which was predictable. There never was any legislative point to the exercise. It was for show. The kindest possible description would be that the senators wanted to raise awareness of global warming/climate change which, of course, has hardly been mentioned at all in the great ongoing public conversation. The least kind description would be that the purpose of the all-nighter was to raise cash.
1:42 PM, Mar 6, 2014 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
In Vermont, where he has been running for something for as long as anyone can remember, the senator is known, simply, as “Bernie.” His national profile is not quite so well established but there are people who have floated the possibility that he might run for president representing the left flank of the Democratic party. He, in fact, among them. So Time magazine interviewed him, raising the prospect, and he made the usual coy noises. However, on the question of Hillary Clinton’s suitability for the job, he was more emphatic.