12:14 PM, Nov 25, 2015 • By JONATHAN V. LAST
I'm ready to concede that Donald Trump is the most anomalous figure I've seen in presidential politics. He has defied the laws of electioneering so many times-reversing his favorable-unfavorable numbers despite universal name identification; thriving in the wake of incidents that would have sunk ordinary campaigns-that I'm close to believing that Trump is a political singularity: a figure so dense that he warps the rules of space-time around him in ways the observer can't fully understand.
For exhibit #17, I present to you this CBS poll from over the weekend. What's interesting isn't (just) the Iowa top-line numbers, where Trump has turned aside Ben Carson's brief challenge and now sits on 30-percent support, which is a 9-point lead over the retired surgeon.
It isn't just that outside of Trump's supporters, another fifth of Iowa Republicans say that Trump is "ready to be commander in chief."
It's this: CBS asked Trump supporters--that is, not all Republicans in the survey, just the people supporting Trump--what their favorite thing about Trump is. And guess what percentage said that their favorite thing about their guy was "his faith and beliefs"? No, really. Guess. I'll wait.
You have that number in your head now? We're talking about the percentage of Trump supporters who say their favorite thing about Donald Trump is his faith and beliefs.
The number is zero.
How do you lead the field in Iowa-comfortably!--when not a single one of your own supporters are especially convinced of your "faith and beliefs?"
Beats me. But it's happening. For now. I still believe, as I have since the summer, that in order for Donald Trump to be the nominee, then everything we think we know about politics would have to be wrong.
Then again, I believe in the laws of physics, too. But they don't hold up in the presence of a singularity either.
9:15 AM, Nov 24, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new poll of Iowa Republicans shows Texas senator Ted Cruz moving into a close second to Donald Trump in the race for the presidential nomination. The Quinnipiac poll of 600 likely GOP caucusgoers found 25 support Trump while 23 percent support Cruz.
11:34 AM, Nov 16, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Iowa congressman Steve King has endorsed Texas senator Ted Cruz for president. Watch the video of King's announcement below:
Don’t look now, the caucuses are less than three months away. Nov 16, 2015, Vol. 21, No. 10 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Sioux City, Iowa
Ben Carson has a simple theory of why he’s risen to the top of the polls in Iowa. “I’ve probably been there more times than anywhere else,” said the retired neurosurgeon just before the October 28 debate in Boulder, Colorado.
9:05 AM, Oct 27, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new national poll of Republican primary voters finds retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in the lead, overtaking reality TV star and New York businessman Donald Trump. The CBS News/New York Times poll found 26 percent of Republican primary voters polled support Carson, while 22 percent support Trump. In a distant third was Florida senator Marco Rubio at eight percent, followed by former Florida governor Jeb Bush and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, both at 7 percent.
7:34 AM, Oct 22, 2015 • By DANIEL HALPER
A new poll finds that Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson is beating Donald Trump in Iowa. The poll has been released by Quinnipiac University.
"With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today," the Quinnipiac release reads.
8:08 AM, Oct 16, 2015 • By DANIEL HALPER
The debate earlier this week in Las Vegas was very good for Martin O'Malley. According to the O'Malley campaign, the Democratic presidential candidate has now had his most succesful fundraising period.
10:48 PM, Sep 21, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
The fallout from Scott Walker's exit from the presidential race continues in Iowa, which had been the Wisconsin governor's stronghold. The Des Moines Register's Jennifer Jacobs reports that Texas senator Ted Cruz has gained the support of three of Walker's county chairs:
9:22 PM, Sep 21, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Four members of Scott Walker's Iowa campaign are now aligning with Marco Rubio. With the Wisconsin governor exiting the presidential race Monday, the Walker campaign's network of activist supporters in the early primary states are free to endorse other candidates.
In Iowa, three county chairs and a university student leader are now supporting Rubio, the Florida senator. Melody Slater of Lee County, Matt Giese of Dubuque County, and Alan Ostergren of Muscatine County, have all shifted their support for Rubio.
6:05 PM, Sep 21, 2015 • By JONATHAN V. LAST
It’s hard to exaggerate how shocking it is that Scott Walker is out of the 2016 race on September 21.
10:48 AM, Sep 14, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
New polls of likely Republican voters in two early primary states show Donald Trump maintaining a solid lead for the presidential nomination. The CBS News/YouGov tracking polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire show the real-estate magnate and reality TV star with big leads in those states.
8:16 AM, Sep 10, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
More Iowa Democrats say they support Bernie Sanders over Hillary Clinton in a new Quinnipiac poll of likely caucusgoers. According to the poll, 41 percent say they support Sanders, the Vermont senator, with 40 percent supporting Clinton, the former secretary of state and New York senator. In addition, 12 percent say they are supporting Vice President Joe Biden, who is not yet in the race.
8:02 AM, Sep 10, 2015 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Martin O'Malley, the Democratic presidential candidate, accused the chairwoman of his party of rigging the primary process for Hillary Clinton. Speaking on MSNBC's Morning Joe Thursday, O'Malley praised vice chairs of the Democratic National Committee who have called for more primary debates. The former Maryland governor has been agitating for more debates than the six already announced by the DNC.
Ben Carson's rise in the polls.9:29 AM, Sep 8, 2015 • By JIM SWIFT
With the summer of Trump coming to a close, the fall might belong to Dr. Ben Carson. Earlier this year, we labeled Carson "the 2016 campaign’s most interesting long shot" -- but that long-shot is seeing a rise in the polls in Iowa, and nationally.
In January, executive editor Fred Barnes profiled Carson in a cover story titled "Taking Ben Carson Seriously." And it appears that primary voters are doing just that.