7:38 AM, Sep 30, 2014 • By JAY COST
In recent days, Republicans appear to have opened up leads in several key Senate battles, including Alaska,Colorado, and Iowa. Add those to their already established edges in Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia -- and the GOP right now has the lead in about eight Democratic-held seats. Whether that translates into a Senate majority remains to be seen, especially as we wait on whether Kansas Republicans can tag “independent” candidate Greg Orman as an effective Democrat (which he basically is).
One surprising state where the GOP is still struggling is North Carolina, where recent polling has Republican Thom Tillis trailing Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan by 3 or 4 points.
Interestingly, Hagan’s numbers are not substantially better than candidates in states where Democrats are trailing.RealClearPolitics reports her standing as 44.5 percent, compared to 43 percent for Bruce Braley in Iowa and Mark Udall in Colorado.
Hagan’s lead in North Carolina depends in large part on the presence of libertarian Sean Haugh, whom Politics1 describes as an, “Ex-Libertarian party national political director, pizza deliveryman, & frequent candidate.” Currently, Haugh pulls in 5 or 6 percent of the vote.
If Haugh continues to do this well, that will make it substantially tougher for Tillis to close the gap. The question is: will he?
Answer: it is hard to say. History gives contradictory indications.
3:45 PM, Sep 5, 2014 • By THOMAS DONNELLY
“They should know we will follow them to the gates of hell.”
“The long-term challenge is debilitating and ultimately eradicating a strong and growing ISIS.”
“The president should have weaponized the moderate Syrian rebels earlier.”
7:01 AM, Aug 26, 2014 • By GEOFFREY NORMAN
One United States senator believes that the Obama administration “has not yet done enough to earn the lasting trust of our veterans and implement real and permanent reforms at the VA.”
9:01 PM, Aug 18, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
How does a Democratic Senate candidate running in a conservative state in 2014 try to win? There are many strategies, from Louisiana’s incumbent senator Mary Landrieu emphasizing her ties to the energy industry to Michelle Nunn of Georgia running as a business-friendly moderate willing to work with Republicans. Behind the various strategies is an underlying principle: These Democrats should distance themselves as far as possible from their unpopular party and its head, the increasingly unpopular Barack Obama.
10:17 AM, Aug 18, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Thom Tillis of North Carolina says the Senate needs "more people who had to sweat for a living" in a new TV ad. The 30-second ad features the Republican Senate candidate speaking directly to the camera inside a diner.
"Washington has completely lost touch with working Americans," Tillis says. "The federal budget's a joke, and senators never pay the price." Tillis, who is challening incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan, says he's worked as a paper boy, a short-order cook, a warehouse clerk, and "eventually, a partner at IBM." Watch the ad below:
10:08 AM, May 28, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new ad campaign from Concerned Veterans for America asks Democratic senators to hold the Department of Veterans Affairs accountable. "President Obama won't hold the VA accountable," says the voiceover in one version of the ad, focusing on Arkansas's Mark Pryor. "Senator Mark Pryor can, but he's done nothing, putting his loyalty to his party and the president ahead of America's veterans."
Ellmers, Jones hang on in House primaries11:02 PM, May 6, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Thom Tillis is projected to win the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, defeating physician Greg Brannon and pastor Mark Harris in Tuesday's primary.
10:39 AM, Apr 29, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
With a week to go before the North Carolina Republican primary for U.S. Senate, Thom Tillis has broken 40 percent support, according to a new poll. Tillis, the state speaker of the house, has 46 percent support, with top rivals Greg Brannon and Mark Harris receiving 20 percent and 11 percent, respectively. The finding comes from PPP, a Democratic polling firm based in North Carolina.
8:06 AM, Apr 23, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor has a 10-point lead in his race to retain his Senate seat, according to a new poll from the New York Times and the Kaiser Family Foundation. A two-term senator, Pryor has 46 percent support, while his challenger, Republican congressman Tom Cotton, has 36 percent support. Pryor also has 47 percent approval rating as senator, the poll found.
So go Republican hopes to take over the Senate.Apr 28, 2014, Vol. 19, No. 31 • By FRED BARNES
To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.
1:31 PM, Jan 15, 2014 • By DANIEL HALPER
Democratic senator Kay Hagan refused to appear with President Obama during his trip today to her home state of North Carolina. But Obama went out of his way to "publicly" thank Hagan anyway:
"Your senator, Kay Hagan, couldn't be here. But I wanted to thank her publicly for the great work she's doing," said Obama.
Hagan's up for reelection this year.
3:17 PM, Jan 2, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
One of the leading Republican opponents to Democratic senator Kay Hagan of North Carolina has a new ad in which he promises to "clean up" the mess in Washington that she's "enabled."
"Obamacare is a disaster, but the president won't admit it," says Thom Tillis, the Republican speaker of the state house of representatives. "The debt's out of control, and neither party has stopped it. Kay Hagan enabled President Obama's worst ideas. She refuses to clean up his mess, so you and I have to clean up hers."
9:59 AM, Jan 2, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A free-market group has launched television ads in three states whose Democratic senators are up for reelection this year, targeting those senators for their support for Obamacare.
Americans for Prosperity released 30-second ads on Monday in New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Louisiana that criticize Democratic senators who voted for Obamacare in 2010 and are facing reelection for the first time since those votes.
3:27 PM, Nov 15, 2013 • By DANIEL HALPER
Vice President Joe Biden and Democratic senator Kay Hagan attended a fundraiser today in North Carolina, where Hagan is up for reelection. But Biden and the senator did not bring up the Obama administration's signature achievement--Obamacare.
Via the pool report: