9:01 AM, Apr 23, 2014 • By WILLIAM KRISTOL
The Arkansas Senate race has been close in virtually every serious poll. The Republican challenger, Tom Cotton, probably had a small lead a month or so ago; after a massive negative assault on him by Harry Reid's Super PAC, the Democratic incumbent, Mark Pryor, is probably now ahead by a point or two. That's the story told by every reputable public and private poll, including, I'm told, polls by both campaigns.
So what's up with the New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation poll released today showing Pryor up by 10 points?
What's up is revealed if one burrows into the complete poll results. Look at question 12, here:
In other words, the Times and Kaiser have produced a sample in Arkansas that reports they voted in 2012 for Romney over Obama--by one point. But Romney carried Arkansas in 2012 by 24 points. Similarly, the Kentucky sample is +3 Romney when reality was +23. The Louisiana sample is +3 Obama in a state Obama lost by 17, and the North Carolina sample is +7 Obama in a state he lost by 3.
The whole point of question 12 is to provide a reality test for the sample. That's why they ask that question--we know what happened in 2012, so the only thing to be learned by asking the 2012 question of the sample is to ensure that it's a reasonably accurate snapshot of voters in the state. Of course there'll always be some variance between reality and the sample's report of its vote a year and a half ago--but not a 23 point variance.
A reputable news organization would have looked at question 12 and thrown the poll out. But then again, it was the New York Times.
8:06 AM, Apr 23, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor has a 10-point lead in his race to retain his Senate seat, according to a new poll from the New York Times and the Kaiser Family Foundation. A two-term senator, Pryor has 46 percent support, while his challenger, Republican congressman Tom Cotton, has 36 percent support. Pryor also has 47 percent approval rating as senator, the poll found.
10:59 AM, Apr 15, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Democratic senator Mary Landrieu of Louisiana is in a tough reelection battle because of her support for Obamacare. So its not surprising her latest TV ad focuses on the one high-profile fight she's had with the Obama administration, over oil and gas exploration. The 60-second spot features people watching Landrieu arguing for expanding energy exploration in Louisiana and criticizing Barack Obama for its restrictionist policies. Watch the video below:
The Democrats’ Senate problem.Apr 14, 2014, Vol. 19, No. 29 • By JAY COST
What do Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia have in common? For one, none has a city larger than 400,000 people. For another, they all voted for John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012. For yet another, they are the most likely places for Republicans to pick up Senate seats, thus taking control of the upper chamber, in 2014.
These three facts are related.
3:28 PM, Apr 2, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal released a health care proposal Wednesday aiming to repeal and replace Obamacare with a conservative alternative.
"President Obama has to stop saying there isn't an alternative," said Jindal, the two-term Republican, on a conference call with bloggers Wednesday afternoon. Jindal's plan, developed within his America Next organization, is a 22-page proposal that seeks to be the "replace part of repeal and replace," as he explains.
10:14 AM, Mar 17, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Americans for Prosperity has two new ads running in Colorado and Louisiana knocking those state's Democratic senators, Mark Udall and Mary Landrieu, respectively, for their support for Obamacare. The ads, which are a version of earlier AFP ads targeting Democratic House members, feature a woman talking directly to the camera about how "Obamacare doesn't work. It just doesn't work." Watch the Colorado ad below:
10:52 AM, Feb 12, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new TV ad running in Louisiana from Americans for Prosperity focuses on how the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare, has negatively affected citizens' lives. Democratic senator Mary Landrieu, who voted for Obamacare in 2010, is up for reelection in Louisiana this year.
The ad features three people receiving letters in their mailboxes, with voiceovers from each reading out their letters informing them of changes to their insurance policies due to Obamacare.
8:01 AM, Jan 8, 2014 • By JERYL BIER
In November, the Obama Justice Department dropped a lawsuit aimed at stopping a school voucher program in Louisiana. The Louisiana Scholarship Program is intended to give students in failing public schools a chance to attend better schools, including private ones. Justice tried to block the program on the basis that it may have violated a 1975 federal desegregation order.
9:59 AM, Jan 2, 2014 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A free-market group has launched television ads in three states whose Democratic senators are up for reelection this year, targeting those senators for their support for Obamacare.
Americans for Prosperity released 30-second ads on Monday in New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Louisiana that criticize Democratic senators who voted for Obamacare in 2010 and are facing reelection for the first time since those votes.
'The politically correct crowd is tolerant of all viewpoints, except those they disagree with.'9:34 AM, Dec 19, 2013 • By DANIEL HALPER
Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal criticized the suspension of Duck Dynasty star Phil Robertson by network A&E.
8:39 AM, Nov 19, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
The Obama administration's Justice Department has dropped a lawsuit aiming to stop a school voucher program in the state of Louisiana. A ruling Friday by a United States district court judge revealed that the federal government has "abandoned" its pursuit of an injunction against the Louisiana Scholarship Program, a state-funded voucher program designed to give students in failing public schools the opportunity to attend better performing public or private schools.
5:30 PM, Nov 4, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Senator Mary Landrieu, the Democrat from Louisiana, has introduced a bill called the "Keeping the Affordable Care Act Promise Act." The bill recognizes that Americans are losing their individual health plans because they don't conform to the new regulations under the Affordable Care Act, better known as Obamacare.
12:41 PM, Oct 30, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Senator Mary Landrieu, Democrat from Louisiana, tells Politico's Manu Raju that she'd be interested in supporting a proposal to allow Americans who like their current health insurance plan to keep it for next year. Here's the story from Politico: