A new poll of New Hampshire GOP primary voters from the Boston Herald and Franklin Pierce University finds Jeb Bush and Scott Walker are tied at 15 percent support, with a slew of other likely candidates close behind in the first presidential primary of the cycle. Here's the Herald on the implications of the survey:
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has lost his front-runner edge in New Hampshire, not because GOP voters are sick of the Bush family but because conservatives are roundly rejecting him, a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll shows.
Bush is tied with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 15 percent, while a pack of other GOP contenders are within striking distance, according to the poll of 429 likely GOP primary voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state.
The Herald refers to Bush losing his "frontrunner" status, even though Bush hasn't had much of a lead in the Granite State. According to the Real Clear Politics poll average, Bush and Walker are essentially tied at around 15 percent. Bush's largest lead in the New Hampshire primary polling since October was 5 points, and he had just 17 percent support. Bush hasn't cracked 18 percent support in New Hampshire since announcing he was exploring a presidential run.
Not that other possible GOP presidential candidates have been doing much better. In two polls of New Hampshire primary voters, one likely and one registered, Scott Walker had a 7-point lead over his Republican rivals, getting 21 percent and 23 percent, respectively. That's the best showing of any Republican candidate so far in New Hampshire, but it's not a consistent trend.
Rand Paul, inheriting his father's built-in libertarian base, has been hovering around 10 percent in the most recent New Hampshire polls, placing him in third place to Walker and Bush. In the Herald poll, Paul gets a healthy 13 percent. And despite claims that Chris Christie's presidential aspirations are finished, the New Jersey governor appears to be hanging on in New Hampshire with an average of just under 10 percent, which is right where the Herald poll finds him. The only declared candidate in the race, Ted Cruz, polls at nine percent in the Herald poll, which is much higher than his average had been in New Hampshire. Ben Carson, Mike Huckabee, and Marco Rubio also register significant single-digit support in the crowded field.
In truth, the first few months of the 2016 campaign—with Jeb Bush reeling in big donors, Walker earning early buzz and staffing up, and Cruz entering the race officially—haven't done much to clarify the Republican nomination fight quite yet. The latest Herald poll shows there is no traditional frontrunner in New Hampshire, nor is there one nationally.
The United States Army has charged Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl with desertion and "misbehavior before the enemy." Bergdahl allegedly abandoned his post in Afghanistan and was held captive by Taliban-aligned forces for nearly five years before the Obama administration negotiated a deal with the Taliban forces.
Possible Democratic presidential candidate Martin O'Malley, the former governor of Maryland, passed up an opportunity to defend his rival, Hillary Clinton, from growing criticism about her exclusive use of a private email system while she served as secretary of state. The moment came for O'Malley in an interview with a New Hampshire TV station, WMUR.
Wisconsin governor Scott Walker leads an early poll of New Hampshire Republican primary voters, NH1 reports:
According to an NH1 Pulse Poll released Wednesday, Walker has the backing of 21.2% of those who say they're likely to vote in next year's GOP presidential primary. The automated survey indicates Jeb Bush in second place, with 14.4% saying they'd support the former two-term Florida governor if the Feb. 9, 2016 primary was held now.
Carly Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett Packard and 2010 Republican candidate for Senate in California, is moving closer to a formal run for president. According to someone close to her, Fiorina will make an announcement about her candidacy in late April or early May, shortly before the release of her untitled book.
Jeanne Shaheen, the incumbent Democratic senator from New Hampshire, has won her race against Republican Scott Brown, ABC News projects.
Shaheen faced a challenge from Brown, the former Massachusetts senator who had been born in New Hampshire. A popular former governor, Shaheen appears to have hung on to her seat despite the unpopularity of President Obama.
The New Hampshire Senate race could go either way, with Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen locked in a dead heat with Republican challenger Scott Brown. A pair of polls show both candidates with their own one-point lead, and the Real Clear Politics average of polls has Shaheen with less than a point advantage.
In the final days of a close Senate race, the New Hampshire Republican party is running Facebook ads tying Democrat Jeanne Shaheen to amnesty for illegal immigrants. The party has four ads that calls out the "Obama-Shaheen immigration plan" and claims Republican challenger Scott Brown will "fight for our jobs."
"New Hampshire workers need jobs," reads one ad. "But the Obama-Shaheen immigration plan takes them away."
"The Obama-Shaheen immigration bill slashes wages, spikes unemployment and shrinks the middle class," reads another.
Democratic senator Jeanne Shaheen told reporters Friday that issues regarding national security and the threat from Islamic terrorist groups like ISIS don't "come up very often" when she campaigns across New Hampshire.
At an event in Claremont, a reporter asked Shaheen about how issues of national security resonate in New Hampshire, given how both James Foley and Steven Sotloff, the Americans murdered by ISIS in the Middle East, have connections to the state.
Republican Scott Brown took issue with Democratic senator Jeanne Shaheen's characterization of the American military operations in the Middle East as an "occupying force" in the two candidates' final debate Thursday evening. The New Hampshire politicians were debating the use of U.S. troops against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria.
"I don't think we want tens of thousands of American troops as an occupying force for sixty years, as we've had in Korea," Shaheen said.
Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren praised her fellow Senate colleague Jeanne Shaheen on Tuesday's episode of The View, saying the New Hampshire Democrat is "working hard for the people of Vermont."
Shaheen, Warren said, is "the only woman in the history of the United States who has been both a governor and a senator, and independent and out there working for the people of Vermont." Watch the video below:
Democratic senator Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire couldn't hold back at her debate with Republican challenger Scott Brown. While Brown was giving his closing remarks at a forum in Manchester Sunday, Shaheen interrupted him, eliciting boos from GOP partisans in the crowd.
"She's voting against small business 100 percent of the time, by having a 'zero' rating from the National Federation of Independent Businesses," Brown said, adding that the group had endorsed him.
"A Koch Brothers-funded organization," said a visibly annoyed Shaheen, speaking over the Republican.
A new poll of the New Hampshire Senate race from Suffolk University finds Republican challenger Scott Brown within three points of Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen. According to the poll of likely voters, Shaheen has 49 percent support to Brown's 46 percent support. Shaheen's job approval/disapproval rating is an even split at 46 percent. Brown's favorable and unfavorbale ratings are 39 percent and 48 percent, respectively.