The latest Pew poll shows that Jeb Bush has fallen to 4 percent in the Republican field. Donald Trump leads the field with 25 percent; Ben Carson is at 16 percent.
Carly Fiorina and Marco Rubio are tied for third at 8 percent of the Republican field.
"At this stage of the 2016 presidential campaign, key issues divide both Republican and Democratic voters, and early candidate preferences reflect some of these cleavages," writes Pew.
"When Republican and Republican-leaning voters are asked in an open-ended format (no names provided) for their first choice for the nomination, none of the 15 GOP candidates are named by more than 25% of those who may vote in the primary: 25% name Donald Trump, 16% name Ben Carson, both Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina are named by 8%, 6% name Ted Cruz and 4% choose Jeb Bush. Other candidates are named by 2% or fewer. A quarter (25%) of potential Republican primary voters do not mention a first choice today, four months before the first caucuses and primaries."
The results of the latest straw poll of WEEKLY STANDARD readers are in. It's not a scientific poll, of course—but since the respondents are very perceptive WEEKLY STANDARD readers, I'm going to claim (why not?) that the results are a suggestive leading indicator of where the GOP race may be going.
The Washington Post has a poll out this today that finds Hillary Clinton's numbers are down in the wake of her email scandal. The poll undercuts one of the main arguments for her candidacy -- electing the first woman president would excite female voters. While Hillary Clinton has a negative approval rating among 53 percent of voters, the poll doesn't show a huge gender gap on that figure.
The Scrapbook is revising its opinion of “word clouds,” which we have heretofore mocked. That’s because we were so entertained by the ones produced in Quinnipiac University’s latest national poll. Besides the usual questions about preferences for the 2016 candidates, voting intentions, and so forth, the pollsters also asked their sample of 1,563 respondents, “What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Hillary Clinton?”
A new poll finds that Vermont socialist Bernie Sanders is in a statistical tie with Hillary Clinton in a newly released New Hampshire poll. The poll finds that Sanders "is currently the most popular Democratic candidate in the state."
In a new national poll, Quinnipiac asked the question in as straightforward a way as possible: "Do you support or oppose the nuclear deal with Iran?" And, "Do you think the nuclear deal with Iran would make the world safer or less safe?"
The results are stunning: Americans oppose the deal, 57 percent to 28 percent; and by 58 percent to 30 percent they think it will make the world less safe.
Secure America Now, a group opposed to President Obama's nuclear deal with Iran, released a new poll this morning.
One main conclusion that Democratic pollster and former Carter advisor Pat Caddell drew was that "the more Americans learn about key details within the Iran agreement, the less they like it." The poll surveyed 800 likely voters.
NBC's Chuck Todd reported this morning on a new poll showing that Hillary Clinton's "favorability numbers are dismal." In Iowa, 56% of all voters have an unfavorable view of Clinton, while only 37% have a favorable view of her. In New Hampshire, 57% view Clinton unfavorably, 37% favorably.
According to the new NBC poll, Hillary Clinton is at 55% in the Democratic primary, while Bernie Sanders comes in a distant second at 26%.
In New Hampshire, Clinton's lead is down to 13 points. Clinton's at 47%, while Sanders is at 34%.
Barack Obama is not popular. This plain and simple fact may surprise those who read only legacy journalists, who often elide this inconvenient truth. A recent Associated Press write-up is illustrative:
Even as the public remains closely divided about his presidency, Barack Obama is holding on to his support from the so-called “Obama coalition” of minorities, liberals and young Americans, an Associated Press-GfK poll shows, creating an incentive for the next Democratic presidential nominee to stick with him and his policies.
A recently released Pew poll finds that only 38% approve President Obama's deal with Iran. A plurality disapproves of the deal.
"More Americans disapprove than approve of the deal struck last week by the U.S., Iran and five other nations to limit Iran’s nuclear program: Among the 79% of Americans who have heard about the agreement, just 38% approve, while 48% disapprove (14% do not offer an opinion)," the Pew poll finds.
CNN's Jeff Zeleny reports that a new poll finds that Hillary Clinton's "shine has tarnished":
"A new CNN/ORC poll, hot off the presses, it reveales that Hillary Clinton is hitting a speed bump on the road to the White House and Jeb Bush also having issues shaking his family connections," CNN host Alisyn Camerota reported.
Scott Walker has had a pretty good run as of late. He’s made some new friends and wrong-footed the right enemies and became, in fairly short order, a leader among the pack of Republican politicians running for president. Perhaps even the leader.
We've just finished tabulating the results an online poll conducted during the last week of WEEKLY STANDARD readers. They were given a chance to let us know who would be, as of now, their 1st, 2nd, and 3rd choices for the GOP presidential nomination. We want to thank the 3,700 readers who participated.