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 7:16 AM, May 16, 2012 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSONA newly released PPP/Daily Kos poll shows President Obama and Mitt Romney locked in essentially a dead-heat in Wisconsin — where Obama beat John McCain by 14 percentage points in 2008. The poll (which was taken shortly after Obama came out in favor of redefining marriage) shows Obama with 47 percent support and Romney with 46 percent support. The previous PPP/Daily Kos poll from Wisconsin, taken a month ago, showed Obama leading Romney by 6 points (50 to 44 percent).
The poll in question is a Democratic poll, yet it hardly offers good news for Obama in the Badger State. In fact, while the poll’s respondents gave Obama just a 1-point edge over Romney in the presidential race, those same respondents gave Governor Scott Walker a 4-point edge over Tom Barrett in the state’s upcoming gubernatorial recall election.
As I’ve previously argued, Wisconsin is one of the nine key swing states (among 13 swing states overall) in the 2012 presidential election. Three of those nine are in Democratic-leaning territory (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada), three are in Republican-leaning territory (Florida, Ohio, and Virginia), and three are in essentially neutral territory (Colorado, New Hampshire, and Iowa). If Romney could pull off the upset in either of the two larger states in Democratic territory (Pennsylvania or Wisconsin), he would deliver a major blow to Obama’s reelection prospects. Simply put, Obama cannot really afford to lose Wisconsin.
10:14 AM, May 15, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERThe New York Times's recently released poll finds that President Obama's gay marriage stance is not going over well with voters.
Read more... 6:02 PM, May 14, 2012 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSONNearly half of all Americans (46 percent) now “strongly” favor the repeal of Obamacare, while barely a quarter (26 percent) “strongly” oppose it — according to the latest Rasmussen poll of likely voters. Among independents, the split is even greater — 46 percent now “strongly” favor repeal, while only 21 percent “strongly” oppose it.
Read more... 4:39 PM, May 11, 2012 • By JOHN MCCORMACKGallup took a poll of adults regarding Obama's endorsement of gay marriage, and the topline number seems* to look good for the president: 51% approve of Obama's support of same-sex marriage, while 45% disapprove.
Read more... 6:45 PM, May 7, 2012 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSONWhich group of voters’ support for (or opposition to) Mitt Romney will hinge the most on his vice presidential choice? According to a newly released Politico-George Washington University poll, the answer is: Republicans under the age of 45.
Read more... 10:01 AM, Apr 26, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERThe latest Purple Strategies poll finds that, in Florida, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is running slightly ahead of President Barack Obama, 47 percent to 45 percent. Seven percent of the poll's respondents are undecided.
Read more... 9:44 AM, Apr 13, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERFox News reports on its latest national poll:
Republican Mitt Romney holds a slim edge over President Obama in a head-to-head matchup, a Fox News poll released Thursday shows. In addition, the poll finds the president’s job rating has dropped to its lowest point of the year.
In a presidential matchup, Romney tops Obama by 46-44 percent if the election were today.
Read more... 9:07 AM, Mar 12, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERPPP reports on its latest poll of Republican voters in Mississippi:
In Mississippi Newt Gingrich is holding on to a slight lead with 33% to 31% for Mitt Romney, 27% for Rick Santorum, and 7% for Ron Paul...
Read more... 8:08 AM, Mar 6, 2012 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSONSuper Tuesday coincides with the 28th consecutive Rasmussen poll showing double-digit support for the repeal of Obamacare. By a margin of 11 percentage points (53 to 42 percent), the poll shows that likely voters from across the political spectrum favor repealing President Obama’s signature legislation.
Read more... 9:52 AM, Feb 24, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERThe latest Michigan poll of the Republican presidential primary from the American Research Group:
Rick Santorum continues to lead the Michigan Republican presidential primary. Santorum leads with 38% and is followed by Mitt Romney with 34%, Ron Paul with 12%, and Newt Gingrich with 7%.
Read more... 4:25 PM, Feb 11, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPERThe results are in from the CPAC straw poll: Mitt Romney has won. Here's the tally:
Mitt Romney: 38 percent
Read more... 2:20 PM, Feb 10, 2012 • By WILLIAM KRISTOLHere's another interesting finding from the Fox News poll showing Rick Santorum surging nationally: Unlike GOP elites and large elements of the punditocracy, Republican primary voters are not eager to close down the race.
Read more...
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- Conservative Intelligence
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Ethan Epstien, in a New York System state of mind
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Washington plays by TSA rules.
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Reflections from the thinking man’s knuckleballer.
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Really?
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A film without pretension about warriors as heroes.
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With American evangelicals on the ground in South Sudan.
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Romney’s challenge is to address the deep uneasiness in America and point the way to a comeback.
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The American and his/her car.
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   Obama’s overblown tax breaks
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 Why we need to break up the banks.
 Why we build memorials.
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