Hosted by Michael Graham.4:45 PM, Feb 20, 2014 • By TWS PODCAST
The WEEKLY STANDARD podcast, with Sean Trende, a Senior Elections Analyst at RealClearPolitics on what the 2014 landscape looks like for Republican senate hopefuls.
This podcast can be downloaded here. Subscribe to THE WEEKLY STANDARD's iTunes podcast feed here.
Obama’s collapsing numbers.Dec 16, 2013, Vol. 19, No. 14 • By FRED BARNES
President Obama is 5-for-5, but not in the way he’d prefer. In baseball, 5-for-5 signifies perfection. In Obama’s case, it means the opposite. On the five most important polling questions that measure a president’s success, he’s not only dropped significantly, but he’s now regarded negatively overall.
The five yardsticks are presidential job approval, honesty, handling of
the economy, strong leadership, and the public’s impression of him personally. Being underwater on all five is extraordinary, if not unprecedented.
Hosted by Michael Graham.4:35 PM, Nov 20, 2013 • By TWS PODCAST
The WEEKLY STANDARD podcast with staff writer Jay Cost on Obamacare's fate in the polls, and whether the Senate is in play for Republicans in 2014.
4:05 PM, Aug 1, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
A new poll finds 77 percent of Americans support either delaying or repealing Obamacare's individual mandate. The extensive survey of 2,076 registered voters found that 28 percent say the individual mandate that Americans purchase health insurance coverage should be delayed, while 49 percent say the mandate should be repealed entirely. Among those who favor delay or repeal of the mandate are 91 percent of Republicans, 77 percent of independents, and 65 percent of Democrats.
6:00 AM, Sep 21, 2012 • By JAY COST
Conservatives are growing worried, and Democrats gleeful, about Obama’s lead in the polls, basically for the same reason: it is late in the season (or so it seems), and the incumbent president has a lead. That is a good thing for Obama.
Perhaps, but three fundamental points need to be kept in mind.
6:00 AM, Sep 10, 2012 • By JAY COST
As we wait to see the extent and duration of Barack Obama’s post-convention bounce, it makes sense to do a little analytical house cleaning. In particular, a meme developed over the summer that Barack Obama was a strong favorite to win reelection, thanks to a sustained and substantial lead over his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, particularly in the swing states.
6:00 AM, Aug 24, 2012 • By JAY COST
In every presidential cycle, there is a debate about partisan identification in polling. Conservatives complain about too few Republicans being sampled; pollsters, journalists, and liberals respond by saying it is inappropriate to weigh polls by party identification.
What to make of all this?
10:22 AM, Jul 21, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPER
Campaign disclosure forms for Obama for America, President Obama's reelection team, reveal a heavy emphasis on public opinion polling. According to the forms, in the month of June alone, Obama for America spent a whopping $2,639,265.72 on polling.
6:00 AM, Jun 29, 2011 • By JAY COST
The Des Moines Register poll of Republicans caused quite a stir this week. The congresswoman from Minnesota could not have asked for a better piece of news to correspond with her official announcement: It showed Michele Bachmann down just one point to Mitt Romney in Iowa. Meanwhile, Tim Pawlenty had to suffer through idle questions about whether or not he was a “first tier” candidate.
4:28 PM, Apr 15, 2011 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON
About a week and a half into the battle over the 2012 budget, Gallup shows that only 41 percent of Americans approve of Barack Obama’s performance as president, while 50 percent disapprove of him. Gallup writes that its “polling includes interviews conducted before and after Obama announced his plan for deficit reduction on Wednesday.” So, from the president’s standpoint, the early returns in the fight he has picked with Paul Ryan aren’t good.
12:35 PM, Mar 18, 2011 • By MICHAEL WARREN
Jay Cost wrote this morning that some of the most important polls to watch this early (and it's still very early) in the 2012 campaign are those which ask the question, "Does Barack Obama deserve Reelection?" In that strain, National Journal has a new poll out today of registered voters that, if accurate, doesn't bode well for Obama:
4:13 PM, Feb 7, 2011 • By JAY COST
The first poll I look to for presidential job approval is the Gallup poll. I don't know whether Gallup offers the best gauge of presidential support. Indeed, nobody can really know: the poll surveys support/opposition among all adults, and there is no independent arbiter to decide which pollster gets it right (contrast this with the exit polls, which can check how pre-election "likely voter" polls performed).
Conservative policies.1:07 PM, Feb 1, 2011 • By FRED BARNES
If the House were composed solely of independents, it would pass the same conservative legislation as Republicans on Obamacare, the individual mandate, purchasing health insurance across state lines, spending, offshore oil drilling, and Social Security reform.
At least temporarily.2:00 PM, Jan 13, 2011 • By JAY COST
Good news for the president. After nearly two years of sliding downward, his job approval numbers have ticked up a little bit. The average of major media polls in December had him clocking in with a job approval of about 45 percent. As of early January, his numbers are up to about 49 percent. The two daily tracking polls have shown siilmilar movement. At the beginning of the month, Gallup had the president around 45 percent approval while today he is at 48 percent. Rasmussen has found similar movement. Taken together, it means this for his trend line: