public opinion polls

Gallup took a poll of adults regarding Obama's endorsement of gay marriage, and the topline number seems* to look good for the president: 51% approve of Obama's support of same-sex marriage, while 45% disapprove.

Which group of voters’ support for (or opposition to) Mitt Romney will hinge the most on his vice presidential choice?  According to a newly released Politico-George Washington University poll, the answer is:  Republicans under the age of 45.   

On Wednesday I argued that only a tiny swath of the actual electorate – maybe 10 percent – will be up for grabs in November. Today, I want to answer the obvious follow-up question: what are these voters thinking?

Fox News reports on its latest national poll: 

Republican Mitt Romney holds a slim edge over President Obama in a head-to-head matchup, a Fox News poll released Thursday shows. In addition, the poll finds the president’s job rating has dropped to its lowest point of the year.

In a presidential matchup, Romney tops Obama by 46-44 percent if the election were today.  

Americans don’t look to be inclined to rely on the Supreme Court to determine the future of Obamacare. For the 30th consecutive time, Rasmussen’s polling of likely voters shows that Americans not only support the repeal of President Obama’s centerpiece legislation but support it by double-digits.

The latest CBS/New York Times GOP presidential preference poll has Herman Cain at 25 percent, Mitt Romney 21, Newt Gingrich 10, Ron Paul 8, Rick Perry 6, Michele Bachmann 2, Jon Huntsman 1, and Rick Santorum 1. A quarter of respondents failed to choose any of the announced candidates.

According to the latest Rasmussen poll of likely voters, Americans support the repeal of Obamacare by a margin of 20 percentage points (57 to 37 percent), with 46 percent “strongly” supporting repeal. To put that into perspective, more than twice as many Americans “strongly” support repeal (46 percent) as “strongly” support Obama (22 percent — the poll’s tally for the past week).

According to Gallup's daily tracking poll, President Obama's disapproval rating has risen to 51 percent, while his approval rating hovers near his all-time low, at 41. The graph below shows the trends for the president's approval and disapproval over the last month:

As of today, President Obama’s approval rating is only 42 percent in Gallup, while Rasmussen’s Presidential Approval Index shows that only 23 percent of likely voters “strongly approve” of Obama’s performance as president, compared to 44 percent who “strongly disapprove” — matching the highest “strongly disapprove” tally in Rasmussen’s index since November. In other words, the debt ceiling debate doesn’t seem to be doing Obama any favors.

On Fox News Sunday, the boss observed that "There is no empirical evidence [the debt ceiling debate is] helping the president, you know? If you look at the different polls, Gallup, Rasmussen, etc cetera. The president's approval rating has drifted down over the last two, three, four weeks...

Rasmussen's latest poll shows that "Most voters still believe President Obama is more liberal than they are, while just one-out-of-four say they share the same ideological views as the president."

A recent AP/GfK poll has been getting a lot of attention for allegedly showing that Americans think the federal budget can be balanced without cutting Medicare spending. The poll’s sample, however, includes 35 percent Democrats and only 18 percent Republicans (and 46 percent Democrats and 29 percent Republicans when including leaners).  That’s hardly a representative sampling of Americans.