The latest Rasmussen poll of likely voters shows that, by a margin of 16 percentage points (54 to 38 percent), Americans support the repeal of Obamacare. Among independents, the margin is 30 points — 61 to 31 percent.
Moreover, Americans are becoming increasingly convinced that repeal is not only possible but probable. Fifty-eight percent of Americans now think that repeal is likely. Fewer than half as many (28 percent) think that it’s unlikely. Such confidence in the repeal movement represents a high-water mark to date: Rasmussen writes that the tally of those who think it’s “at least somewhat likely” that Obamacare will be repealed is “the highest ever measured since the bill became law 19 months ago.”
Jim Capretta explains that Republican presidential candidates’ pledges to use the reconciliation process, if necessary, to repeal Obamacare, offers further reason for voters to believe in the prospects of repeal. He writes,
“Reconciliation is a special legislative process established by Congress to provide for expedited [filibuster-proof] consideration of important budgetary legislation….
“Reconciliation didn’t play a small role in Obamacare’s passage, as has been suggested [by some of its supporters]. Without reconciliation, Obamacare would not have become law at all….
“It’s true that Obamacare includes some provisions that, on their own, might be considered non-budgetary, but not nearly as many as some may think. The entire machinery of the coverage provisions — the individual mandate, the Medicaid expansion, the employer requirements — is entirely fueled by federal money (in the form of both subsidies and penalties). Moreover, the state exchanges and the regulatory apparatus they are intended to impose are also financed by federal taxpayers. Repeal of all of these provisions, which are the guts of Obamacare, is plainly a budgetary matter, and therefore appropriate in reconciliation.”
The key is to have a president who would sign such a bill into law. Thus, the key to repeal — as it’s always been — will be to replace President Obama.