To reflect polling showing a tightening general election race and California voters’ particularly sour mood about the direction of their state and the country, CQ Politics is changing its race rating from Likely Democratic to the increasingly competitive Leans Democratic.
Two polls conducted in March showed Boxer’s lead over two potential Republican challengers narrowing to a virtual tie. One of those two surveys, the Field Poll, had Boxer leading by double digits as recently as January.
And while the three Republican candidates for the GOP nomination – former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, former Rep. Tom Campbell and state Assemblyman Chuck DeVore – have benefited from plenty of earned media thanks to their testy primary battle, Boxer’s drop in the polls came before any of them were on the air with campaign ads.
The Republican primary is June 8.
The Weekly Standard's preview of the Boxer race is here.
Update: Daniel Halper points out Real Clear Politics calls California a Toss Up.