In a Republican tracking poll, last night Scott Brown held on to a stable if narrow lead. Even if the results are adjusted to reflect a more Democratic-friendly turnout model than the pollsters expect, Brown maintains an edge.
There's been a little erosion for Brown with Democrats and an increase in Democratic intensity--but that was offset by Brown's ever increasing edge among independents. Brown's fav/unfav rating remains solid, whereas Coakley's has collapsed over the last two weeks.
Republican insiders are very nervous but very hopeful.