A newly released poll from the Hill indicates that President Obama and the Democrats face strong headwinds as they start their convention. The poll shows that, by a margin of 14 percentage points (54 to 40 percent), likely voters do not think Obama's job performance merits reelection. The basis of this assessment seems clear: By a margin of 21 points, likely voters think the nation is in "worse condition" (52 percent), rather than "better condition" (31 percent), than it was four years ago.
By an 11-point margin (51 to 40 percent), voters between the ages of 18 and 39 do not think Obama deserves reelection. The percentage of voters who don't think he deserves reelection is even higher among those between the ages of 40 and 64—53 percent. It is highest among those who are at least 65 years of age—65 percent.
Perhaps the most ominous news for Obama is his low standing among independents. The Hill writes, "Among 'other' voters — those who said they were neither Democrats nor Republicans — 61 percent say Obama does not deserve reelection."