The New York Times ran the following headline: "Cracks Appear in Republican Unity on Health Law Repeal." The accompanying piece quoted "cautious" Republican campaign consultants wary of restarting the Obamacare debate, just as House Republicans plan to hold a vote to repeal the unpopular law on Wednesday. But despite supposed dampened enthusiasm among some establishment types, it's likely every House Republican will vote for repeal. And there will likely be some Democratic who will cross the aisle for this vote.
In January 2011, only three House Democrats--Dan Boren of Oklahoma, Mike McIntyre of North Carolina, and Mike Ross of Arkansas--voted with the Republicans to repeal Obamacare. These three will almost certainly vote the same way. But will any of the 189 Democrats who voted against repeal in 2011 change their vote?
Larry Kissell of North Carolina has already said he will vote for repeal. Kissell, who will also be skipping the Democratic National Convention in nearby Charlotte and has declined to endorse Barack Obama for president, voted against Obamacare in 2010 but also voted against repealing the law in 2011.
But Jason Altmire of Pennsylvania, who lost his primary race to his colleague Mark Critz earlier this year partly due to his vote against Obamacare in 2010, will not be supporting repeal. "He’s going to vote against repeal like he did in January 2011," said Altmire spokesman Rachael Heisler in an email. "He’s staying consistent with his record."
Jim Matheson of Utah and John Barrow of Georgia have not yet indicated on how they will vote on Wednesday. Both Matheson and Barrow voted against repealing Obamacare last year but opposed the law in 2010. Both are also running for reelection in relatively heavily Republican districts. The offices of Matheson and Barrow did not immediately respond with a comment.