What is a Republican caucus in Iowa really like? On February 1, I went to Ames to find out.
One hundred eighty-nine Republicans filed into the sanctuary at St. Andrew’s Lutheran Church, just a few blocks from the Iowa State campus, to consider each candidate a final time before casting their votes. Like those across the state, the caucus started promptly at 7:00 p.m.—well, maybe a minute or two after. Jeff Ortiz, co-chairman of the Story County GOP and chairman of the precinct's caucus, gave a little leeway to the last few voters signing in. Every caucusgoer must be registered as a Republican in Iowa, which a participant can do up until the caucus begins.Read more
Hillary Clinton says she won the Iowa caucus, though some are claiming the state too close to call. Nonetheless, Clinton is moving on to New Hampshire with a sharp message for her supporters: "dig deep and do more."
"We made history last night with our win in Iowa -- thank you for all you did to make that happen," Clinton writes in an email this morning to supporters.
"Winning is a good feeling, Daniel. But we can’t be complacent for a single moment. We know that Senator Sanders has a strong team and they made history last night, too. His supporters aren't on the sidelines, taking anything for granted, and we can't either.
"We are down in New Hampshire -- so this is the time for this team to dig deep and doRead more
With Hillary Clinton's dissapointing evening in last night's caucuses, there's already speculation that Clinton's campaign manager, Robbie Mook, will be fired or demoted.
The speculation is in today's New York Times. Reporter Amy Chozick writes,
"Even before Mrs. Clinton finished her brief remarks to her supporters late Monday night, discussions were underway among her outside advisers and donors about the need to bring in longtime Clinton aides and diminish the role of Robby Mook, her young data-driven campaign manager."
Chozick turned to the Clinton campaign for reaction:
Asked about such discussions, Nick Merrill, a spokesman for the campaign, grew irritated. "Are you serious?" he saidRead more
Winners and losers from Iowa, ranked:
Ted Cruz: The big winner, obviously. Because Cruz didn’t just stake his campaign on Iowa, he vanquished the ogre. And the win is much more important because Cruz had to take the state back from Trump. Cruz can now legitimately claim to be the Donaldslayer. It also validates his organization, his data operation, and his GOTV plans. All in all, Cruz couldn't have asked for a better night.
Except for one thing: His victory speech was a trainwreck. It was 32 minutes long when Fox cut away from it—the other networks bailed earlier, when Clinton came out to talk.Read more
By finishing third in last night’s Iowa caucuses, Marco Rubio joined Donald Trump and Ted Cruz as a candidate with a realistic chance of winning the Republican presidential nomination. Rubio pulled himself out of the pack of long-shot candidates and sure losers in the large GOP field – by itself, an important achievement.
What made Rubio's showing especially impressive was how close he was behind Trump, who had led in pre-caucus polls. That wasn't all. Rubio not only survived a wave of nasty negative ads by Jeb Bush, his one-time political ally in Florida. He also overcame complaints by Iowa Republicans that he had taken the state's role as the first contest in the nomination battle too lightly and not campaignedRead more
Florida governor Jeb Bush received 5,165 votes in Iowa. His vote total constitutes 2.8 percent of the Republican turnout, placing him in sixth place in the Iowa caucus.
Yet no candidate in either party spent more in the race than Bush.
According to MSNBC, Bush spent $14.9 million in Iowa, all coming from Bush's super PAC. (In fact, if one were to consider national ads and money from the campaign, the total would be significantly more.)
That means, the once Republican frontrunner spent $2,884 per Iowa vote.Read more
The Ted Cruz campaign bus got stuck in Iowa mud and needed to be towed.
Time magazine's Phil Elliott caught a picture of the bus and noted,
"Paging the Department of Metaphor? Ted Cruz campaign bus stuck in mud, needs towed.Read more
Jeb Bush will be in Iowa through the weekend. But on Monday, the day of the Iowa caucus, the former Florida governor will fly to New Hampshire to hold a town hall.
So as caucusgoers gather in Iowa, Bush will be in Manchester, New Hampshire, for a town hall. The event will take place at the Alpine Club.
There is no victory party for Bush scheduled for Monday evening.
The Bush campaign released the governor's schedule last night.
UPDATE: Republican candidates Chris Christie and John Kasich will also leave Iowa before Monday's caucus and head to New Hampshire.
Jeb Bush is at 3.4 percent in the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa polls.Read more
There are new polls out of the Democratic early states and they aren’t especially good for Hillary Clinton. ARG has Bernie Sanders at +3 in Iowa. That's probably an outlier, but the trend is pretty clear: Clinton has led by double digits in Iowa since October. Now Sanders is suddenly within single digits in four of the last six polls.
In New Hampshire it's the same story, but worse. Clinton led without interruption from August to November, but now Sanders seems to be pulling away.Read more
Des Moines -- There's no other way to say it: Hillary Clinton is very boring. The Democratic presidential frontrunner's campaign stops are, too. The members of her traveling press corps look like they'd rather be anywhere else. So do some of the attendees, who shift in their seats starting around minute 10. Even the campaign staffers pace the back of the room or tap inattentively on their iPhones as Clinton drones on about finding a cure for Alzheimer's and universal pre-kindergarten.
At a recent "organizing event" at the State Historical Building, in the shadow of Iowa's capitol dome, Clinton's supporters are getting restless before the candidate's even arrived. Somewhere in the crowd, a chant breaks out. "When I say 'Madam'Read more
Sioux Center, Iowa -- Ted Cruz was running a few minutes late for his appearance at Dordt College, having to reply to the latest provocation from Donald Trump without angering the erratic businessman.
Earlier in the day, Trump had wondered aloud whether Cruz might be ineligible for the presidency because he was born in Canada. Cruz has sedulously avoided criticizing Trump, even as he eagerly attacks other candidates. So Cruz once again offered a kind of jocular nonresponse response.Read more
During a speech in Iowa Tuesday, Hillary Clinton's Southern accent made a comeback. In the Midwest.
In August, we ranked her Southern accent when it came out in an interview with the chairman of the South Carolina Democratic party. We're once again ranking the intensity of her Southern accent in a video, using a fried chicken scale (1 = lowest, 5 = strongest).Read more
I'm ready to concede that Donald Trump is the most anomalous figure I've seen in presidential politics.Read more
Sioux City, Iowa
Ben Carson has a simple theory of why he’s risen to the top of the polls in Iowa. “I’ve probably been there more times than anywhere else,” said the retired neurosurgeon just before the October 28 debate in Boulder, Colorado.
A new national poll of Republican primary voters finds retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in the lead, overtaking reality TV star and New York businessman Donald Trump. The CBS News/New York Times poll found 26 percent of Republican primary voters polled support Carson, while 22 percent support Trump. In a distant third was Florida senator Marco Rubio at eight percent, followed by former Florida governor Jeb Bush and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, both at 7 percent.Read more
A new poll finds that Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson is beating Donald Trump in Iowa. The poll has been released by Quinnipiac University.
"With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today," the Quinnipiac release reads.Read more
The fallout from Scott Walker's exit from the presidential race continues in Iowa, which had been the Wisconsin governor's stronghold. The Des Moines Register's Jennifer Jacobs reports that Texas senator Ted Cruz has gained the support of three of Walker's county chairs:
3 Iowans who backed Scott Walker are now Ted Cruz county co-chairs: Phyllis Gannon/Green Co., Barb Pape/Clayton Co., Dean Hamilton/Henry Co.Read more
Four members of Scott Walker's Iowa campaign are now aligning with Marco Rubio. With the Wisconsin governor exiting the presidential race Monday, the Walker campaign's network of activist supporters in the early primary states are free to endorse other candidates.
In Iowa, three county chairs and a university student leader are now supporting Rubio, the Florida senator. Melody Slater of Lee County, Matt Giese of Dubuque County, and Alan Ostergren of Muscatine County, have all shifted their support for Rubio.Read more
Type in your email
address to get started:
Thank you for signing up for the Jonathan V. last newsletter! You should receive your first newsletter very soon.
We're sorry, there was an error processing your newsletter signup.