Polls Articles


Donald Trump Finally Lost a Poll

Cruz and Rubio outperformed their final Iowa poll numbers.
11:22 PM, Feb 01, 2016
Donald Trump has owned the polls, scientific or otherwise -- until now. Read more

The Consequences of 'Voter Anger'

Trump, Sanders poised to take full advantage.
6:32 PM, Feb 01, 2016
Iowa and New Hampshire this year could be remembered as breaking points in presidential politics. Read more

Why the Fourth Most Popular Candidate in Iowa Is in First Place

10:23 AM, Jan 31, 2016
In the final Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll, Donald Trump leads the field at 28 percent with Ted Cruz in second place at 23 percent and Marco Rubio in third at 15 percent. Read more

Gallup: 'Trump Most Unpopular Candidate of Either Party'

By far.
10:31 AM, Jan 30, 2016
Research from the polling firm Gallup has found that Donald Trump is the “most unpopular candidate" for president in either major party — both in this election and all the way back to 1992. Read more

Hillary Clinton's Millennial Problem

Attack ads work.
1:18 PM, Jan 18, 2016
Hillary Clinton may have a Millennial problem on her hands. Read more

Poll: Jeb Is at 3% and Is Being Beaten By Christie, Paul

Carly gets only 1 percent.
7:37 AM, Dec 23, 2015

A new poll this morning released by CNN finds that Jeb Bush is at 3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump, by contrast, leads the field with 39 percent.

Ted Cruz, meanwhile, comes in a distant second with 18 percent. Ben Carson and Marco Rubio are tied at 10, Chris Christie is a 5 percent, and Rand Paul is at 4 percent.

The rest of the Republican field is at 2 percent or below, including Carly Fiorina who is at 1 percent.

CNN reports on the poll:

Donald Trump seems set to end 2015 as the dominant force in the race for next year's Republican nomination for president, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz now a clear -- yet distant -- second after a strong debate performance, a new CNN/ORC poll released on

 Read more

NYT Poll: For First Time in 20 Years, Americans Oppose Assault Weapons Ban

6:23 AM, Dec 11, 2015

Some shocking results from the latest New York Times poll:

For first time in 20 yrs of @nytimes poll, a majority of Americans opposes ban on assault weapons pic.twitter.com/xosjHoDNTi— Patrick J. Egan (@Patrick_J_Egan) December 11, 2015

It seems that President Obama's call for an assault weapons ban in his recent Oval Office address and the New York Times's front page editorial advocating that Americans be made to give up their guns had a significant impact on influencing public opinion -- just not in the way that they had hoped.

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Trump's Polling Lead: Real or Apparent?

'The more voters pay attention, the less they like him'
3:48 PM, Dec 10, 2015
Staff writer Jay Cost joins the podcast to discuss why Iowa won't be a cakewalk for Donald Trump. Read more

New Hampshire Paper Endorses Christie

11:04 AM, Nov 29, 2015

The New Hampshire Union Leader has endorsed Chris Christie for president. The state's largest daily newspaper, which has a conservative-leaning editorial board, published the endorsement Saturday. Here's an excerpt:

Our choice is Gov. Chris Christie. As a U.S. attorney and then a big-state governor, he is the one candidate who has the range and type of experience the nation desperately needs.

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The Bad News in Hillary's 'Great' New Poll Numbers

Hosted by Michael Graham.
4:25 PM, Nov 04, 2015

THE WEEKLY STANDARD podcast with staff writer Jay Cost reading the tea leaves on Hillary Clinton's latest poll numbers.

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Poll: Jeb Sinks to 4 Percent

Bush registers worst favorability ratings.
7:29 AM, Nov 04, 2015

The leading Republican presidential candidate in donor and establishment support is down to just four percent of the vote in a new national poll. Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor, is in a far fifth place in the latest Quinnipiac poll, getting four percent and trailing Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, and Donald Trump.

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Carson Overtakes Trump in New National Poll

8:05 AM, Oct 27, 2015

A new national poll of Republican primary voters finds retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in the lead, overtaking reality TV star and New York businessman Donald Trump. The CBS News/New York Times poll found 26 percent of Republican primary voters polled support Carson, while 22 percent support Trump. In a distant third was Florida senator Marco Rubio at eight percent, followed by former Florida governor Jeb Bush and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, both at 7 percent.

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Poll: Carson Beating Trump in Iowa

6:34 AM, Oct 22, 2015

A new poll finds that Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson is beating Donald Trump in Iowa. The poll has been released by Quinnipiac University.

"With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today," the Quinnipiac release reads.

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Poll: Jeb Falls to 4%

12:28 PM, Oct 02, 2015

The latest Pew poll shows that Jeb Bush has fallen to 4 percent in the Republican field. Donald Trump leads the field with 25 percent; Ben Carson is at 16 percent.

Carly Fiorina and Marco Rubio are tied for third at 8 percent of the Republican field. 

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Poll: Clean Energy Issues Pretty Popular Among Conservative Base

7:18 AM, Oct 02, 2015

Some new findings on how conservative voters think about energy issues from a bevvy of top-tier GOP pollsters ought to be required reading for the eventual Republican presidential nominee. While the new polls, commissioned by the ClearPath Foundation, offer some intuitive political messaging advice  (e.g., GOP candidates would do well with an energy agenda that emphasizes energy security, rather than a changing climate) some less intuitive results offer advice to GOP candidates about what not to do. Namely, while Republicans probably shouldn’t try to run on clean- energy issues, running against them probably won’t help either.

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Hillary in Danger at the Dem Debate

1:04 PM, Sep 30, 2015

We're two weeks from the first Democratic debate and to be honest with you, I can't tell right now if we are underestimating Hillary Clinton's weakness, or her strength.

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Poll: Quarter of Democrats Prefer Joe Biden for President

The VP trails Hillary, even with Bernie.
8:20 AM, Sep 23, 2015

Vice President Joe Biden has made significant gains in the national Democratic primary polls in recent weeks, with a new Bloomberg poll showing a quarter of registered Democratic primary voters supportin him, his best numbers yet.

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Ben Carson Rises in Fall

The new frontrunner?
11:14 AM, Sep 15, 2015

A new poll of the Republican presidential primary from the New York Times and CBS News shows consensus frontrunner Donald Trump making "modest" gains, from 24 percent at the beginning of August to 27 percent.

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Polls: Trump Rolls On in Iowa, New Hampshire

9:48 AM, Sep 14, 2015

New polls of likely Republican voters in two early primary states show Donald Trump maintaining a solid lead for the presidential nomination. The CBS News/YouGov tracking polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire show the real-estate magnate and reality TV star with big leads in those states.

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Quinnipiac: Bernie Edges Out Hillary in Iowa

7:16 AM, Sep 10, 2015

More Iowa Democrats say they support Bernie Sanders over Hillary Clinton in a new Quinnipiac poll of likely caucusgoers. According to the poll, 41 percent say they support Sanders, the Vermont senator, with 40 percent supporting Clinton, the former secretary of state and New York senator. In addition, 12 percent say they are supporting Vice President Joe Biden, who is not yet in the race.

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Pew: Just 21 Percent Support Iran Deal

A 12-point drop in support since July.
5:01 PM, Sep 08, 2015

A new Pew poll finds shrinking support among the American people for the nuclear deal with Iran. The poll found 49 percent are opposed to the deal, with 21 percent in support and 30 percent who say they don't know.

That's a 12-point drop in support for the deal from Pew's poll two months ago, which found 33 percent supported the deal and 45 percent oppose it. Here's more from Pew:

 Read more

Dem Primary Poll: Hillary Drops 10 Points

11:01 AM, Sep 08, 2015

A new national poll of Democrats and Democrat leaners finds Hillary Clinton with 42 percent support in her party's presidential primary, down 10 points from a month ago and facing significant opposition from other candidates. The Monmouth University poll found Clinton, the former secretary of state, fell from 52 percent support last month, the first time she has failed to get a majority of Democrats in Monmouth's poll.

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A Long Shot No More?

Ben Carson's rise in the polls.
8:29 AM, Sep 08, 2015

With the summer of Trump coming to a close, the fall might belong to Dr. Ben Carson. Earlier this year, we labeled Carson "the 2016 campaign’s most interesting long shot" -- but that long-shot is seeing a rise in the polls in Iowa, and nationally.

In January, executive editor Fred Barnes profiled Carson in a cover story titled "Taking Ben Carson Seriously." And it appears that primary voters are doing just that.

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TWS Straw Poll: A GOP Elite Eight, Heading toward a Final Four?

6:09 PM, Sep 07, 2015

The results of the latest straw poll of WEEKLY STANDARD readers are in. It's not a scientific poll, of course—but since the respondents are very perceptive WEEKLY STANDARD readers, I'm going to claim (why not?) that the results are a suggestive leading indicator of where the GOP race may be going.

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Hillary’s Clouded Prospects

Sep 07, 2015

The Scrapbook is revising its opinion of “word clouds,” which we have heretofore mocked. That’s because we were so entertained by the ones produced in Quinnipiac University’s latest national poll. Besides the usual questions about preferences for the 2016 candidates, voting intentions, and so forth, the pollsters also asked their sample of 1,563 respondents, “What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Hillary Clinton?”

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WaPo Poll: Majority of Women Have Unfavorable Opinion of Hillary Clinton

12:35 PM, Sep 02, 2015

The Washington Post has a poll out this today that finds Hillary Clinton's numbers are down in the wake of her email scandal. The poll undercuts one of the main arguments for her candidacy -- electing the first woman president would excite female voters. While Hillary Clinton has a negative approval rating among 53 percent of voters, the poll doesn't show a huge gender gap on that figure.

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250 Supporters to CNN: Let Carly In Debate (Updated)

2:59 PM, Sep 01, 2015

More than 200 elected officials, Republican and conservative activists, and business leaders have signed a letter to CNN president Jeff Zucker requesting the cable network award Carly Fiorina a spot in the upcoming Republican presidential primary debate. Fiorina campaign staff posted the letter on Medium, with a note saying the campaign is "so grateful for their support."

Read the contents of the letter below:

 Read more

Iowa Poll: Trump, Carson Tied For Lead

Carly Fiorina comes in second.
10:16 AM, Aug 31, 2015

A new poll of likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa finds Donald Trump and Ben Carson tied for the lead at 23 percent support. The Monmouth University poll is the first since July to show Trump not in the sole lead position in Iowa.

Behind Trump and Carson in the poll is Carly Fiorina at 10 percent support. All three top candidates are not officeholders and only one, Fiorina, has ever run for public office before.

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PPP: Trump Dominates Field in New Hampshire

10:14 AM, Aug 25, 2015

A new poll of "usual" Republican primary voters in New Hampshire gives Donald Trump his biggest lead yet in the Granite State. The Public Policy Polling survey found Trump with 35 percent support, a good 26-point advantage over the next closest GOP candidate, Ohio governor John Kasich at 11 percent. Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO, has 10 percent support.

 Read more