Demographics Articles

Ben Wattenberg, 1933-2015

He had the courage to stand against the mob.
11:28 AM, Jun 29, 2015

AEI reports that Ben Wattenberg has died. I met him only once but had admired him for years, and it strikes me that he stands as a particularly important figure today.

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The Democrats’ Problem with White Men

It’s Not the One You Think . . .
6:00 AM, Mar 24, 2015

Hillary Clinton is a fairly weak candidate for the presidency, in many ways:

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The GOP: King of the Hill

R.I.P., ‘emerging Democratic majority.'
Nov 24, 2014


For years, liberal Democrats have haughtily explained to Republicans that the GOP is on the cusp of becoming a permanent minority. Even speaker of the House John Boehner can find himself on the receiving end of lectures by preening leftists. President Barack Obama warned Boehner of the GOP’s impending presidential collapse just two days after the Republican party’s midterm triumph!

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New Yorker Botches 'What to Expect'

1:34 PM, Oct 16, 2013

The New Yorker's Elizabeth Kolbert writes about Jonathan V. Last's book What to Expect When No One's Expecting and gets it completely wrong.

Here's what Kolbert says:

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Coming to Their Census

Jul 08, 2013

Last month The Scrapbook reported on a slightly arcane, but important, change being proposed for the American Community Survey. The ACS is an annual survey conducted by the Census Bureau; it goes out to 3 million households and is one of the most robust tools we have for gathering demographic data about our country. For unknown reasons, the statisticians running the ACS proposed deleting a question about “number of times married.”

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Are Immigrants Really More ‘Fertile’?

7:01 AM, Jun 20, 2013

The Internet had a conniption last week when Jeb Bush spoke at the Faith and Freedom Coalition Conference and made the following remark:

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Location, Location

The secret to the Republicans' House majority.
Apr 22, 2013

The 2012 national election continues to be a puzzle. Barack Obama won reelection with a solid 51 percent of the vote, and Democrats picked up 2 Senate seats, expanding their majority to 55-45. Yet the House of Representatives remained in Republican control, 234-201, yielding the divided government we have today.

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Start a Family...

And before you know it, you'll be voting for the GOP.
Apr 22, 2013

In 2005, Steve Sailer wrote a cover story for the American Conservative theorizing that the divide between red and blue states was driven in large part by the cost of family formation. Sailer dubbed this the “Dirt Gap” (referring to the price of homes with yards), and his general thesis was that affordable family formation—and the attendant bourgeois life which it enabled—was the source of our political divisions.

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On the Soda Ban and Demographics

3:30 PM, Apr 10, 2013

Over at Real Clear Politics, Jean Yarbrough has a response to a New York Times op-ed defending Michael Bloomberg's soda ban. The Times piece was written by Sarah Conly, a Bowdoin College professor who seems to specialize in coercive paternalism.

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Last Podcast: Why You Should be Gettin' Busy

Hosted by Michael Graham.
4:10 PM, Feb 14, 2013

THE WEEKLY STANDARD podcast with Jonathan V. Last, hosted by Michael Graham:

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Required Reading

Feb 11, 2013

The Scrapbook is delighted to announce that our colleague Jonathan V. Last’s brilliant essay, “America’s One-Child Policy,” which appeared in these pages two-and-a-half years ago, has grown into an even more brilliant new book, What to Expect When No One’s Expecting: America’s Coming Demographic Disaster.

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13 Abortions for Every 10 Live Births in Russia

10:43 AM, Feb 08, 2013

This week Russian president Vladimir Putin brought Boyz II Men to Moscow to "hopefully [give] Russian men some inspiration ahead of St. Valentine's Day," according to the Moscow Times. That is, Putin brought the music group to town to encourage love-making, and, he hopes, baby-making to offset Russia's demographic disaster.

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Animal Planet: Pets Outnumber Children 4 to 1 in America

Americans spend over $4.8 billion annually on their pets.
1:00 PM, Feb 01, 2013

In a new book on demographics set to be published next week, Jonathan V. Last writes that pets now outnumber children 4 to 1 in America.

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A Nation of Singles

The most politically potent demographic trend is not the one everyone talked about after the election
Dec 10, 2012



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Ross Is Right on Demography

7:15 AM, Dec 06, 2012

Ross Douthat has gotten himself in trouble for writing about demographics and the latest Pew report on the decline of America’s birth rate. Douthat has the temerity to suggest that having babies is important for public welfare, that Americans aren’t having enough of them, and that the root cause of our birth dearth is a deep cultural transformation:

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Are Republicans Learning the Wrong Lessons?

9:41 AM, Nov 28, 2012

As hard as it is to believe, it’s been only a little over three weeks since Election Day. But there are already plenty of signs that Republicans are learning many of the wrong lessons from that debacle.

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Can Obama Sustain Enthusiasm With African Americans?

6:20 AM, Oct 22, 2012

Elections these days are determined in part by the swing of unaffiliated voters, which both sides closely contest. They also hinge on how strongly each party’s base turns out to vote.

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Demographic Tidal Wave

10:15 AM, Oct 12, 2012

It's demographics time again! Last week, the CDC released its preliminary birth data for 2011. Much of the analysis focused on the raw number of births, which declined for the fourth straight year. America's general fertility rate is now the lowest it's ever been. Which is not great news.

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Demography Is Destiny

The perils of population loss.
Apr 23, 2012

The world is heading for demographic catastrophe. Fertility rates have been falling across the globe for 40 years, to the point where, today, Israel is the only First World country where women have enough babies to sustain their population. The developing world is heading in the same direction, fast. Only

3 percent of the world’s population live in a country where the fertility rate is not dropping.

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The Lost Girls

China’s One-Child policy is an epic disaster. Why does it have so many cheerleaders?
Sep 26, 2011

America's Demographics and Dynamism

Amidst the gloom and doom, there are reasons to believe America will remain the preeminent global economic power.
11:00 PM, Sep 02, 2011

There is gloom and then there is doom. We Americans have plenty of reason for the former as we say goodbye to summer on this holiday weekend on which I am told the last gin and tonic of the season is consumed by those so inclined.

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Demeny Voting

11:19 AM, Jul 07, 2011

If you obsess about demography for long enough, eventually you find all sorts of off-speed proposals to deal with the world's falling fertility rate. One of which is called "Demeny voting."

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Happy Hour: Gates Does Damage Control

6:00 PM, Apr 04, 2011

Jennifer Rubin: "Gates's spokesman does damage control"

Eric Holder's not so happy about having to give terrorists military trials.

"Elite U.S. Counterterror Forces Facing Cuts"


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