Huckabee in Iowa
November 15, 2007
• By Matthew Continetti
Soren Dayton's interesting analysis of the latest CBS News / New York Times poll concludes thusly:
The numbers suggest something more. Huckabee is way out ahead of Mitt Romney on 'is a conservative', abortion, and 'shares my values.' But on 'agree on issues', immigration, and 'right experience', Huckabee is struggling places.
I suspect that the 'issues' thing is really about taxes. There has been a lot of mail going out, phone calls, and people have run ads against Huckabee. Huckabee's experience number can be moved with some good bio ads.
I am however, struck by Romney's abortion number. This confirms the word on the street from Iowa. Romney's voter base is the country-clubbers. They may well be moderates.
Romney has the money and the will power to make sure likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers know about Huckabee's differences with movement conservatives on tax and immigration issues. This would hurt Huckabee's chances ... and also open space for a movement conservative whom lately people seem to have forgotten about.
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