November 16, 2009 • Vol. 15, No. 9
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Trouble in New Hampshire?

Of the head to head polls that have come out in the last week, none should be more startling to the McCain campaign than this one from New Hampshire: Rasmussen has McCain trailing Obama by 13 points (36 to 49) in the Granite State. McCain is behind Clinton too, but the gap is much smaller (41 to 43). Surely it’s a testament to an Obama-surge that he did not even win New Hampshire’s open primary, and yet he now fares much better than both Clinton and McCain. Notwithstanding New Hampshire’s minuscule four Electoral College votes, this is not a good sign. Fortunately, the "President of New Hampshire" leads Obama by 16 points (53 to 37) in Florida. There is even one good poll that puts Pennsylvania within reach. Recall that the Keystone State state only barely went to Kerry in ’04.

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