November 30, 2009 • Vol. 15, No. 11
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Your Post-Election Analysis Today

Kudos to author Matt Bai for writing this piece in today's Times. Some liberals are already beginning to assert that racism, not rational policy disagreement or unease with the candidate's youth and inexperience, will lead to Barack Obama's defeat in November. Bai calls this line of argument what it is: hogwash. Here's Bai:

While it’s entirely possible that Mr. Obama’s race is costing him some support, it’s also true that the electorate that voted in the last two presidential elections was almost symmetrically divided between the two parties. It would defy the laws of politics if, at this early stage of the campaign, moderate Republicans and conservative independents were to reject Mr. McCain (a candidate many of them preferred back in 2000) simply because they don’t like George W. Bush.

Second, Mr. Obama faces genuine obstacles that are more salient than skin color. By any historical measure, he has remarkably little governing experience and almost none in foreign policy. And he represents not only a racial milestone in American life, but also a stark generational shift. It’s hard to extricate these things from Obama’s blackness. (If older white voters recoiled at Mr. Obama when he exchanged a fist-bump with his wife, were they reacting to his youth or to his race?) There are legitimate reasons that some older white voters might reserve judgment on Mr. Obama without being closet racists.

Read the whole thing, as they say.

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