The Blog

House Update

10:43 AM, Nov 5, 2008 • By KEVIN VANCE
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Four of the eight Republican-held House seats that were undecided late last night now have a clear winner:

Republicans will hold on to retiring Rep. Deborah Pryce's seat in OH-15, with Republican Steve Stivers leading Democrat Mary Kilroy by five percent and only one precinct outstanding.

Michigan state senator Mark Schauer defeated Republican Congressman Tim Walberg in Michigan's Seventh District, 49 to 46 percent.

Alaska's embattled Rep. Don Young (R) holds a healthy eight percent lead against Ethan Berkowitz (D) with only three precincts left to report.

Western Idaho Rep. Bill Sali (R) narrowly lost to businessman Walt Minnick (D) in a conservative district.

One seat is a likely Democratic pick-up:

In Maryland's Eastern Shore-based First District, Andy Harris (R) trails Frank Kratovil (D) by about 1,000 votes with all precincts reporting. Harris defeated GOP Rep. Wayne Gilchrest in the Republican primary.

Three seats are still toss-ups:

In Northeast California's Fourth District, conservative state senator Tom McClintock leads Democrat Charles Brown by 400 votes, with all precincts reporting. Provisional and late absentee ballots have not been counted.

In VA-5, Rep. Virgil Goode (R) and Tom Perriello (D) are within one or two hundred votes, depending on the source. There will almost certainly be a recount. Maybe this explains why this race became unexpectedly close.

With only 41 percent reporting, GOP Rep. Dave Reichert is leading Democrat Darcy Burner (D) by a slim margin in WA-8.

This will give the Democrats a net gain of between 20 and 23 seats in the House, with a partisan breakdown of between 256/179 and 259/176 in the next Congress.