Gallup: Early Signs Point to Very Competitive Mid-Term Elections
1:21 PM, Jul 30, 2009 • By GARY ANDRES
Gallup released some new polling today suggesting Democrats will face stiffer political challenges in 2010 than in the past two electoral cycles. Democrats currently hold a slight 50%-44% lead in the generic ballot ("if the election were held today, which party would you vote for"). But as Gallup notes, Republicans historically turn out in higher proportions and wipe out those leads:
The Gallup numbers also show Republicans and Democrats deadlocked among independents on the generic ballot.
The Democrats' tough electoral sledding is further complicated by history. The president's party historically loses seats in Congress in midterm elections. Gallup's numbers suggest that trend could continue next November.
Read the full Gallup report here.