A poll of 600 likely voters by Research2000 for the left-wing blog Daily Kos shows conservative Doug Hoffman and Democrat Bill Owens neck and neck while liberal Republican Dede Scozzafava is sinking like a stone.

Allahpundit writes that the pollsters "did miss an opportunity, though, by failing to poll Scozzafava voters on who their second choice is. That would have finally given us a sense of how things are likely to break if her supporters decide she’s a lost cause next week and force themselves to choose between Owens and Hoffman. Instead, they polled Hoffman’s supporters on that question, which was stupid given that he’s vaulted past her and thus is no longer the one playing spoiler."