Saranac Lake, N.Y.
With 19 percent of precincts reporting, Democrat Bill Owens is leading conservative Doug Hoffman 51 percent to 44 percent.

NewzJunky.com has links to county by county election returns. It's way too early to call, and we don't know what particular wards in each county are reporting, but if Owens maintains his current county-by-county margins, he should pull off a victory.

The Cook Political Report's David Wasserman, who's sitting here at the Hotel Saranac, observes that the mood among Hoffman's supporters has shifted from "popping corks to popping pills."

Update: Doug Hoffman just conceded and Bill Owens is delivering his victory speech. More on why Hoffman lost later.